So I have some updated information. The PG&E Non-Export Interconnection agreement is apparently only for installing a Powerwall without solar (or other renewable generation). If you have solar, then you get a different Interconnection Agreement, in my case the "Net Energy Metering Interconnection for Solar And/or Wind Electric Generating Facilities of 30 Kilowatts or Less with Energy Storage of 10 Kilowatts or less."
The rules for exporting are contained in the Electric Schedule NEM tariff, (
https://www.pge.com/tariffs/tm2/pdf/ELEC_SCHEDS_NEM.pdf ). Section 11 covers NEM Paired Storage, and 11(g)(i) describes a billing procedure for Small NEM Paired Storage (under 10KW Energy Storage) using the California Solar Initiative Expected Performance Based Buydown (
CSI EPBB Calculator) to estimate the solar system's output each month. That estimate is a cap on energy export credits for the month. If the system exports more energy than that estimate, you get lose credit for the extra, starting with the peak rate period. I.e. PG&E will credit you for the cheapest cap's worth of energy that you export.
The rate arbitrage strategy for this is clear: use the Powerwall to time-shift all generation to the Peak period each day, and all consumption to the Off-Peak period each day. Plus pay attention to the export cap for each month. I guess we'll see how much control the coming TOU option for the Powerwall will provide and how close we can easily get to this.
Cheers, Wayne