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Well, last week 220 was the line in the sand, and we ended JUST below…not even the price of the LID on a cup of joe…this week that line is $225, so hopefully, you got some nice premium, but it may swing around. Personally, even IF we went above $230 between today and Mid Weds, I’d still be confident in $230 not being called away 11/10..Maybe buy another upside call on the next pull back ~ 5-7$ out for some little coin?The market had a huge rally last week and might need a breather this week. How do you guys feel about my 230CC for Friday? Part of my problem is that I won't be able to watch the SP tomorrow. I could roll them now to 240 next week, but that might not be safe either? Obviously my preference is that they just expire this week.
I should add this to my thumbrules.This brings up different strategies. I start at 0.1 when I sell. So there is very little risk of it ever going in the money. If you are selling options that you are willing to close at 0.1, that means you started with a higher risk premium. I broke my rule on Wednesday when he SP didn't seem to be doing anything during the FOMC meeting, and I sold 230 calls for Friday for 0.43 that were around 15% OTM. Now they are significantly in the red, only 5% away, and I might have to roll them if the SP continues to climb.
230 seems very distant right now, but a bit of good news and it’s only +~4%The market had a huge rally last week and might need a breather this week. How do you guys feel about my 230CC for Friday? Part of my problem is that I won't be able to watch the SP tomorrow. I could roll them now to 240 next week, but that might not be safe either? Obviously my preference is that they just expire this week.
I should add this to my thumbrules.
- Sit out during times of expected large volatility like Delivery (quarter end), ER, Company meeting, product reveal, AI day and now FOMC meeting.
Agree. The potential problem I see is China delivery numbers tomorrow. 5% pop is not impossible.230 seems very distant right now, but a bit of good news and it’s only +~4%
But I’m chill with it from here, with my roll strategy in place if needed
My current thumb rule is to wait till the SP is closer. If I had 230 CC, I'd look for break of 226 level (where it got rejected again today) before rolling.The market had a huge rally last week and might need a breather this week. How do you guys feel about my 230CC for Friday? Part of my problem is that I won't be able to watch the SP tomorrow. I could roll them now to 240 next week, but that might not be safe either? Obviously my preference is that they just expire this week.
I've got 230 cc for this Friday and I'm feeling good about them. My version of feeling good is mostly the feeling that if we dart towards that share price then I'll roll 1 or many weeks to get the strike up to 250 or 260, and I think that's easily doable.The market had a huge rally last week and might need a breather this week. How do you guys feel about my 230CC for Friday? Part of my problem is that I won't be able to watch the SP tomorrow. I could roll them now to 240 next week, but that might not be safe either? Obviously my preference is that they just expire this week.