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and here I thought most of us were more rational than the average Joe. Sounds like a bunch of tin foil geezers.
level by level and levels have been provided yesterday. I dont have a good count for the latest drop from 265. It looked impulsive no doubt about it but I cant tell the structure. So the plan is to count the bounce. If its impulsive then we start from there. If its back and forth zig zaggy then be defensive.Can you update us where you expect this bounce to take us short term/mid term?
It can still last a few days, but technically it would be best to gap-up from 195 close at most to 205 open at least without crossing 195-205 area in the day before or the gap-day itself, for a clean island reversal. The cleaner, the more reliable an island reversal will be. Of course the upside dow H&S @Jim Holder pointed out as well will help to make such a jump possible. Maybe this week options don't allow for this to happen and we need a new week for this, being so close to Friday's expiration, everybody big being tied up a little.The chart looks like a big rally today but only because of the limited range - it's only up 2.5%. I have a hard time seeing a gap up tomorrow with this anemic volume lately but who knows. Still holding my -c180/182.5/185s.
Thats what I mean. the pop was stupid and I myself told my friends its gonna fade.
Not much a fade just yet
The form 13 headline is officially dead. This is some rotation into EV you were not prepared for because you placed too weight on the bearish wave count.So sector strength fighting fade. I'd like a fade to reposition some short calls.
Rolled my 2x 16/2 182.50 CC to mid march 190 CC for 11.70 (break even roll). At least I sold them for 5.50 last week.So sector strength fighting fade. I'd like a fade to reposition some short calls.
Again.I've already said what my plan was. Called the pivot. Called the pullback. It went deeper than I thought but I didn't see SPY coming down to 490 today either so there's that. If it breaks the previous low then back to the drawing board but for now I'm just going to wait for the 2nd leg up before selling new CCs. Also provided the timeframe for which the 207 gap gets filled (after next week).
Nothing new today worth mentioning. Most days I go on here and really get nothing beneficial for my decision making so I stick to my trading group.
This is some rotation into EV you were not prepared for because you placed too weight on the bearish wave count.
slow grind up, but mission accomplished by dealersgamma 180 vanna 195
market participants expecting 180, but dealers WANT to push into 195 if they can
IDK. Getting paid millions when your job could be done by a random number generator sounds pretty smart to me.Active fund managers can't beat the s&p most of the time so I would say they are kind of idiots.