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  1. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    IDK. Getting paid millions when your job could be done by a random number generator sounds pretty smart to me. ;)
  2. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    That's because we don't complain about Elon here, and people don't get attacked/insulted for saying they are bearish/etc. The main thread is toxic and I don't go there anymore.
  3. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I think this goes one of two ways. Either this lights a fire under him again to prove himself at Tesla, or it gives him the excuse to walk and do the AI work under his own private companies as he has threatened.
  4. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    And guidance/Elon's vibe. With the stock market pulling so hard I don't think the FED will be in any rush to actually cut.
  5. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Remember the Cybertruck crash test teaser video where the footage cut away right before impact every time? This.
  6. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Good for fed, bad for stock market.
  7. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    The event sucked. It was so dark you could barely see the car and they fumbled showing off the details.
  8. Nocturnal

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    +1 I have mine configured now. (dual motor, though the tri was tempting) I'm taking the leap on an early product because Tesla has come through in the past for me in that area. I was finally able to see the best in real life and it really does deliver. I think it's the most interesting vehicle...
  9. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Dang, did someone's sell button get stuck?
  10. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Jonas pumping us too FYI.
  11. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    They saw the market reaction and this guy got the orders to go out and talk it down.
  12. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    IDK where I first heard it, but it's been clear to me for years. TSLA goes down on good news, down on bad news, and up randomly.
  13. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    When they do crack FSD I will "never come back" because I'll be on an island somewhere. Maybe my own.
  14. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Getting a little OT, but having elevated but reasonable inflation is the easiest way to reduce US federal debt in real terms. Debt isn't technically in the FED's area of responsibility but that doesn't mean all that much.
  15. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    From all I've seen a FED pivot signals economic weakness which usually causes a correction. This covid market hasn't exactly acted like a rational market though so... 🤷‍♂️
  16. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    It's been such a dog lately.
  17. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    With QQQ up 1.4% this is such garbage performance. Where is my 2x beta! :mad:
  18. Nocturnal

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I also think that will help with perception. Since the Model Y new launches have been pretty soft. Semi, Roadster on hold, and now the CT.
  19. Nocturnal

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I just hope they don't prioritize CA and TX deliveries.
  20. Nocturnal

    SpaceX investor's thread

    Haven't seen much new info really. Don't forget military applications for both Starlink and Starship. We have also seen some hints that the Airforce is preparing/prepared to build their own Starship launch facilities...
  21. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Feels like there is some accumulation going on. Q4 could be back to beat territory and surely some big money is aware of this.
  22. Nocturnal

    SpaceX investor's thread

    I'm surprised it's not higher given the recent news of cash flow and starship progress.
  23. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Only news I've seen is that Elon was talking up the Gen 3 vehicle with Munro. "quite advanced on gen3 platform". But Gen3 really does have a shot at bringing in the next major leg up. https://x.com/ByeonChansoo/status/1732060078092452039?s=20
  24. Nocturnal

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    This extra feature alone makes up for the increased price vs what was suggested at launch. For me at least. I had hoped there would be some nice integration with PW/Gateways and V2H. Tesla gets a lot of credit but I'm not sure people really appreciate how well their ecosystem really works. If...
  25. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Holding 12/15 and 12/22 +Ps @ 220 and 210. Also have some stupid cheap lotto ticket calls for Friday just in case we get some crazy surprise. May the odds be forever in your favor!
  26. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    To be fair that's 90% of the pick up market. ;)
  27. Nocturnal

    How much $ to retire and how to fund your lifestyle in retirement

    I did something similar last year with Etrade. It wasn't that high, but it was free money and I was looking to move anyway.
  28. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    So maybe this Christmas we made the "nice" list after all.
  29. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I was thinking of the political stuff. I do think the impact of those sales was not temporary. They caused a waterfall of selling and margin calls. That money moved from bulls to bears.
  30. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    So far every big Elon scandal has blown over. I don't think this one will be any different but at some point. 🤷‍♂️ QQQ is down as well so that could be most of it to be fair.
  31. Nocturnal

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I don't make too many predictions because I don't like looking foolish down the road predicting the future is hard but a bit before Ron's comments I predicted that we will see a major OEM "give up" on EVs and turn to Tesla in a major way sometime in the next 2 years.
  32. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    If its that bad then I won't be touching TSLA for quite some time, at least not being long. Hard to imagine they would whiff it that badly.
  33. Nocturnal

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I don't know Watt you guys are talking about. I do worry a bit about US makers putting EVs further on the back burner because of this. I know we have seen FUD come and go but there seems to be a new push to make EVs (and not just subsidies) a political issue here in the US. 2008 required about...
  34. Nocturnal

    SpaceX investor's thread

    I wonder if it's possible to spin off Starlink in an IPO, but retain a majority ownership by SpaceX itself? That would retain ongoing profits and control, and provide a large influx of cash to the parent company and give early SpaceX investors some liquidity.
  35. Nocturnal

    SpaceX investor's thread

    Deserve? Maybe not, but fans and investors sure would love to know which part is false. :)
  36. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    History says yes.
  37. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Wondering if we see a serious squeeze here. 5% pre market hasn't been seen in forever. Can you DL the pictures and then zoom in on them in the photo app?
  38. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I have to think our friend Ron might have helped as well. He shared a few details that might have raised some eyebrows. Plus how many Tesla bulls have been on the sides or even short and trying to hit the lowest lows?
  39. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I'm in calls for santa rally @$260s and bought some puts for Feb @$160. This "good news" is that the economy is weakening. Don't listen to me though. I was overly bullish in 2022 and it stung me bad. Trying not to be overly bearish now but... 🤷‍♂️
  40. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    "Economy is strong, we will raise rates." - bad "Economy is weak, we will pause/cut." - bad 🤷‍♂️
  41. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    The boost over the past few mins might be related to this news.
  42. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Before Q3 I had picked 2024 EOY as seeing 300+. Now I think that won't be until 2025 sometime. Thesis hasn't changed much but I've just pushed it out a bit.
  43. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    There has to be a ton of stops at $200. If someone wants to play games I don't see them giving up just shy of that. Personally I think the fundamentals look as bad as any of the charts.
  44. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Sold off my +Ps for a nice little profit. Watching for now.
  45. Nocturnal

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    BP is now a customer of Tesla. Today BP announced a deal in which BP pulse, bp's EV charging business, will acquire ultra-fast charging hardware units from Tesla for $100 million
  46. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    The SP has closed damn near exactly on max pain too many times for it to be a coincidence. I suppose it could be simple market dynamics but it's far too easy for the market makers to move money around to manipulate share prices.
  47. Nocturnal

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    That would be a reverse gamma squeeze I'd say, but not sure if there is a special name for it.