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Furthermore, one could (on stable philosophical grounds) argue that there is a moral imperative not to delay "the advancement of these technologies" as long as the data keep showing that the net effect is a lower accident rate and a relatively lower incidence of traffic deaths as opposed to manual/human driving. And of course the natural in-between state between full autonomy and old school manual driving: increasingly advanced driver's assitant features that gradually work to unload the driver and increase safety.
This is a solid point, there should be a genuine resale price step between vehicles with AP1 hardware and with AP2 hardware assuming Tesla mobility gets off the ground. One vehicle makes you money, the other doesn't.Another update from lovely Oppenheimer:
We also believe the new reporting structure highlights the importance of TSLA's lease partners and risks around TSLA's used vehicle market whether it is older vehicles cannibalizing new sales or the brisk pace of innovation limiting interest in older vehicles. While used Tesla's have held value well to date, we view the end of lease vehicle strategy as a critical variable for future cash needs. TSLA @ OPCO
Consumer reports about Model X reliability :
Consumer Reports ranks Tesla near bottom for reliability
We don't like trading illiquid options because most high freq shops try to build no positions or otherwise stay delta neutral.
...once it is proven that one manufacturer can produce an autonomous vehicle they should be forced to licence the to all other automakers...
Yowza. As flawed as the ZEV credit model is, at least it provides a modicum of a market. I hope your use of the term "...forced to license..." was a quick response to another's thought, and not a deeply-held belief of yours. Such a Deus ex machina ukase would horrifically skew and pervert the best development of autonomous vehicles.
Well i haven't done a peer reviewed study or anything. But if we get to a point where one automaker (lets say Tesla because they are awesome) has the technology to save 20-30k lives per year then it would be morally difficult yo justify the sale of non autonomous vehicles to the general public. So with that base assumption I can only think of two ways to force the tech on every new vehicle sale. Ban every manufacturer that isn't first to market or force Tesla to licence their technology for an interim period (at a price high enough to compel other automakers to create their own systems) to other automakers for a period of time until they can create their own systems.
We can moot this discussion fairly quickly, I would say, if both of us agree to fall back on Mr Musk's now several-year-ago proclamation: "All our patents are belong to you".Well i haven't done a peer reviewed study or anything. But if we get to a point where one automaker (lets say Tesla because they are awesome) has the technology to save 20-30k lives per year then it would be morally difficult yo justify the sale of non autonomous vehicles to the general public. So with that base assumption I can only think of two ways to force the tech on every new vehicle sale. Ban every manufacturer that isn't first to market or force Tesla to licence their technology for an interim period (at a price high enough to compel other automakers to create their own systems) to other automakers for a period of time until they can create their own systems.
Delta neutral insures that you make zero profit from the underlying share price? How is that the best way to trade?Delta neutral -- the best way to trade, even though most people prefer to take a side.
Tesla Motors: Let Confusion Reign?
By Ben Levisohn
Tesla Motors’ (TSLA) plans to change how it reports its earnings, something that has the potential to cause plenty of confusion when it releases its earnings on Oct. 26. Oppenheimer’s Colin Rusch and team try to get in front of the change.
Given the potential confusion around Tesla’s anticipated reporting changes, we are publishing an updated model to help investors navigate these adjustments. The critical change in proforma revenue is the recognition of lease revenue not total vehicle value. Due to high percentage of deferred revenue (~35%), this change also materially changes EPS. We expect cash flow estimates to remain intact. We also believe the new reporting structure highlights the importance of Tesla’s lease partners and risks around Tesla’s used vehicle market whether it is older vehicles cannibalizing new sales or the brisk pace of innovation limiting interest in older vehicles. While used Tesla’s have held value well to date, we view the end of lease vehicle strategy as a critical variable for future cash needs…
Restating prior results based on GAAP revenue… Previously, revenue had been adjusted to reflect deferred revenue due to lease accounting. Our forward estimates no longer include this deferred revenue. Our 3Q16 revenue estimate is now $1,866.3M (was $2,327.4M).
That's not very convincing on a forum, but we'll move on.I won national first place a couple of times in various design and building competitions. I have 90% confidence to win any competition especially if it's super complex and requires creative thinking. I can study a project and come up with the best solution relatively quickly. Also I can tell if other approaches are likely going to work or not.
Going back to autonomous, sometimes companies might develop their systems secretly, I can't predict or comment those. Among the systems I have seen, I think they are all way behind, most of them need to restart.
Delta neutral insures that you make zero profit from the underlying share price? How is that the best way to trade?
Delta neutral insures that you make zero profit from the underlying share price? How is that the best way to trade?
Tesla Motors: Let Confusion Reign?
You probably think too much. I am not trying to and I don't need to convince anyone.That's not very convincing on a forum, but we'll move on.