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Yeah his estimate went from may to june in the course of a 15min twitter thread. Ridiculous
Yup he added this
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Yeah his estimate went from may to june in the course of a 15min twitter thread. Ridiculous
Holy - this makes it sound like all of Vegas proper's "people mover" system can be done in 2021.
I don’t understand the timeline.
how can the FSD subscription be in May but the button or Beta wide release be after that?
It’s an aspirational button.I don’t understand the timeline.
how can the FSD subscription be in May but the button or Beta wide release be after that?
Looks like thisIt’s an aspirational button.
He said two weeks a couple of weeks ago. I am getting tired of his predictions. Always excuses. This is getting boring ridiculous.
He said two weeks a couple of weeks ago. I am getting tired of his predictions. Always excuses. This is getting boring ridiculous.
Elon Musk on 60 minutes years ago said:People should not ascribe to malice that which can easily be explained by stupidity." (LAUGHTER) So-- so it's, like, just because I'm, like, dumb at-- at predicting dates does not mean I am untruthful. I don't know-- I-- we've-- I never made a mass-produced car. How am I supposed to know with precision when it's gonna get done?
I was talking with an associate today and they wanted to inform me that "all" of Tesla's profits were due to energy credits. They said they had just read it?!I've been discussing cars with some taycan owners and people waiting for one and... omg. Its like a reality distortion field around these people. The Taycan MUST be better than the model S because... I dunno... reasons?
I'm told very clearly by them that the taycan is the same spec but you get a much higher quality car for a bit more money.... when the specs are not VAGUELY comparable (the taycan is laughably inferior in many metrics), the taycan has no supercharger network, and no OTA updates, and the price is stupidly higher...
And when i point out the vast difference in top spec WLTP ranges, I am assured that it is 'common knowledge by everyone' that tesla overstates their range and porsche understate it...
the WLTP figures...
MUST be wrong!
And if they are wrong, it must be tesla who lie, and porsche (part of the VAG mess who should be imprisoned for lying about dieselgate) who are just being super chivalrous and modest and understating...
What drugs are people on that they swallow all this? honestly feel sorry for people whose blind hatred (i suspect mostly jealousy) of Elon Musk is so strong that they believe all this crap. If this is the kind of lies and hand-wavey nonsense that people are having to resort to in order to buy a taycan, it makes me think the plaid is going to absolutely vaporize the profits of the 'luxury' car makers. Its going to cost a LOT of media-bribes to get people to keep parroting this FUD.
Lora and Niedermeyer are jokes, they are not important.Not to belabor this stuff too much, but apparently Elon made a joke response to Ford's CEO (Jim Farley) with a Chris Farley... Who was Jim's cousin...
They are part of the old toxic TESLAQ FUD army, like TeslaCharts. So not exactly nobodies, but S&P 500 inclusion probably took care of their significance. I wondered if ever there would be an investigative journalist uncover the detail of why Lora can spread her misrepresentations and hate on CNBC unopposed, and what the incentives behind the scenes are. Wasn't teslacharts related to a VW employee?Lora and Niedermeyer are jokes, they are not important.
#6. Market Makers are NOT your Friends; it's their Game to Rig
I would add the fact that we popped through the top of the upper BB pretty good yesterday, and that usually only lasts a few days at the most.i like to have that bigger in my TWS:
View attachment 653792
That are all outstanding options. As every option represents 100 shares you can say "The Market(tm)" has to pay 4.320.000$ to those options-buyers for EVERY DOLLAR over $800 for the 800-calls alone!
Thus it makes sense for sellers to short for some days (current borrow-rate is 0.26% - so basically free) to get the price below & buy back on monday.
A second problem: If you have to deliver on that call you actually have to own those shares! If you have a short-position then maybe the person lending you those shares wants them back - yielding higher rates and other nasties.
The puts are exactly the opposite.
If you calculate the integral over everything "The Market(tm)" has to pay you get those nice diagrams with red "cost of puts" bars left & green "cost of calls" bars right & max-pain in the middle.
But Max-Pain is just an average for "The Market(tm)" and does not include individual institutions.. Gordon may hold onto his $20-puts & skew the max-pain in that way. That is why some of us look at the chart and identify "line of defenses" for those big players. In this case: 700, 730, 750, 800 calls. On the other hand we have also a high number of puts at 800 - where other institutions may be interested in getting the price higher. So the 700s basically cancel each other out, everything below 700 is out of reach & because of the high 800-spike over 850 should be unrealistic.
the 800 puts nearly cancel the 730 calls - so the line should be somewhere between 750-800 according to this theory (more towards 750).
This theory is ONLY valid if
- manipulation is easy (e.g. low volume)
- no breaking news
- macro-assist in the right direction (i.e. macro up/down-movements in the "right" direction get enhanced)
- no crash or similar marketwide things.
At least that is my view of it
hope that helps & clears things a bit up.
The media are going to run out of cell provider/manufacturing combo rumors for the iCar real fast, at this rate.Make of this what you will.