Adam Jonas predicts a huge "cash for clunkers" program will come in the fall to help the US auto industry. He thinks it will help Model 3/Y sales, but he is still spreading FUD about competition.
So Adam, what do you mean by "face a lot more competition"?
1) New BEVs announced or launched?
Agreed.
2) New BEVs produced in sufficient volume to slow Tesla's growth?
Not from Ford or GM, who plan to produce fewer BEVs in 2026 than Tesla produced last year, according to Reuters.
Detroit's near future based on SUVs, not EVs, production plans show
And as you said, other carmakers now have less to spend on conversion to BEVs, even if they planned it.
3) New BEVs as good as Teslas, even if produced in sufficient volume?
Highly unlikely, given Tesla's large lead in battery tech, software, and rate of innovation in products and manufacturing.
So "face more competition" does not mean lose sales to competition. Inferior compliance-cars will not hurt Tesla.