So what am I missing on the IRA credits? We are 3 days into the year and Tesla are selling at sub optimal prices. M3P is cheaper than M3LR and M3SR is more expensive that the MYSR. They are gaining knowledge and waiting for the dust to settle perhaps (Ford Lightning prices changed dramatically today for instance).
Not really "missing" anything other than some of the speculation in the last few pages on what timing/options Tesla really has.
There are no US cells to put into those cars to get the credit back, so that's a non starter.
We know Highland refresh is coming soon... that'll probably include a price bump... but most other countries saw a 2-4k bump from it, so even if they say raised the P by 4k and left LR and RWD alone, the LR wouldn't make any sense as a product- though the RWD might, perhaps with a couple grand cut on top (down to say the ~35k the inventory ones sold for last quarter).
Among ideas tossed around recently:
Tesla could kill the LR AWD (as they did once before) and those Chinese 2170s could go to Berlin for more Ys if they get the workers to make em and the demand to buy em over there.
Tesla could change their long-standing no-buyout policy on leases-- effectively making the $7500 credit available again on the RWD and LR AWD. This would have the most impact on maintaining (or increasing, with highland coming) 3 sales in the US-- but would significantly alter the % of Teslas subject to leasing compared to historical numbers.
This one wasn't tossed out, but they could go back to sending non-qualifying 3s to Canada and stop importing them from China- though I doubt they sell enough in Canada to replace US sales and then they're still stuck with the rest at weird prices in the US so probably Not A Thing.
They are just giving the media time to get all their FUD over P/D numbers done before throwing them another bone to fight over with a M3P price hike. (or drop prices on the other M3s to make up for the lost rebate as GM has done)
Since Tesla will not sell a car with a losing margin do you really think Tesla can afford to sell the RWD 3 for $31.490? (the current price with $7500 taken off by Tesla)- or even for ~28k which is what the inventory ones were net of the credit recently?
Seems like it'd be a weird choice compared to just letting people buy out leases and keep pricing the same even if they COULD afford to do it.