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Probably not bigger but you can find out yourself by going to tirerack and looking up the diameter of the tires.
The 18", 19" and 20" wheels on the Model 3 have different size tires yielding about the same overall diameter.
If you want to di an easy experiment, go to your local bike shop and test ride two similar bikes bikes. One with steel wheels and one with Aluminum wheels (same tire size). You'll be amazed.
Early on the thread there is an "article" that purports to offer some statistics.
Stop and think for a second about how in that case the tire/wheel combo going from 40 to 54lbs a 35% weight gain, and a 10% fuel economy hit.
Just spitballing but I would presume the S tire/wheel package is in that ballpark of 54lbs, people claim a 10% economy loss on those from 19to 21" but I am pretty sure the 21" package is not 73lbs which would be the corresponding 35% weight gain, and we don't see people claiming grand gains with arachnids over turbines...........
Besides with regenerative braking a Tesla would recover more of that energy than an ICE, but again people claim a 10% swing on Teslas where the weight change is smaller and regen recovers energy an ice would have wasted as heat, so how does that work with the 6th grade science level article?
Point being if you look at it with an open mind rather than trying to blindly affirm your belief weight is the big factor you are going to say that weight may not be the big factor. Particularly not in highway range, city range sure it will play a part as acceleration of the mass is a factor, bit highway takes acceleration largely out of the equation.
Don't forget that most wheels are open and tires are not. So the bigger the wheel the more drag. Drag increases as the square of the speed and energy use to overcome drag increases as the cube of the speed.
i recently put on some 22's from the stock 20's and havent really noticed a difference. i drive like crap though, so i get poor mileage all around anyways