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This is incorrect. Comparing two situations: A. Plain Hodl B. Hold + margin leverage + protective puts B is what was discussed and has higher returns - because you hold more shares, this assumes robust SP growth i.e. TSLA Selling calls is not a meaningful hedge. Point of the hedge is...

Similarly I’ve learned that Funds available to trade is the amount Over 10% of margin cushion. Which I think is excess liquidity divided by Net Liquidation Value. You can set up multiple alerts in mobile app to notify you as cushion drops. It Only works on mobile app. I try to stay in 20-30%...

Few hacks: There is a way to set up alerts on mobile app that will alert you as margin drops dangerously. It only works on mobile app Buying near the money PUTs might improve margin situation in emergency. One needs to have Above 10% of mrg cushion left to buy anything. Margin requirement for...

This seems extreme. Have you looked at other brokers? I’ve found IBKR relatively predictable. Margin req was very high ~.60 following >10x TSLA run up. This made sense as it essentially did not unlock newly available buying power too quickly. Once the price stabilized ~1.5 year ago MR had...

Something that you can overlay on top of spreadsheet data is Oraclum's BASON prediction. This is a weekly stock prediction competition/experiment that includes TSLA and several indexes. It uses quite statistically sophisticated method of crowd sourced, credibility weighted data gathering. The...

I would come out of T$LA retirement and code for free, or for 2025 options. There must be at least a 1000 of engineers like me. The only thing of value is stickiness of TWTR user network .. it would take years for valuable users (content generators) to migrate. Long term though it might be a...

Now we know what Jack Ma and Fan Bingbing were missing, before they went missing, ... probably influence and publicity ;) On serious note she seems to be a good TWTR Follow... even it is hard to believe she can get away with her posts without some implicit patronage.

It would be interesting to see the chart as IC width divided by SP (or % OTM) I suspect it will not be constant and rather it would have similar shape as historical volatility (prorated from yearly value to 4 days), probably looking like this: (this is from Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) - Historical...

Volatility is the Risk - if you use any form of leverage: margin, options. Don't ask me how I know. Edit: Volatility is also Risk if your time horizon does not approach infinity. For example TSLA in college fund of High Schooler might not be a good choice, while TSLA in college fund of...

Raoul Pal runs RealVision channel, frequently hosting many hedge funds guests. Here is their production from 2019: "Tesla: Electric Noise" " Tesla is more than just an electric car company — it represents our obsession with Silicon Valley and celebrity culture, the promise of green energy and...

What is the process for fixing a potential future leak? Can a small section of solar roof be removed to water proof underlayment beneath / flashing / around vents etc?

If you thought Toronto streetcars were the problem here is another FSD edge case:

FWIW I was going through my notes and I thought I would share quotes from this thread and which I've found exceptionally helpful. As they are pretty universal advice I've added them to wiki thread here: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/posts/6572323/

I was going through my notes and thought I would share some clippings that I've accumulated from this thread (emphasis in quotes is usually mine, some might got mangled through copy/paste): Great hint from @ChefBoyardee: "OTM leaps spreads (within reason) > ATM or slightly ITM leaps > Shares...

Two other ways to look at it: 1. On the other side of that trade is a Call Buyer who thinks that SP will increase by more than $15 between now and 6/17. Who is more likely to be right? 2. If you close now and invest .. say buy 2/3 back of your shares after taking the loss. By 6/17 will...

IBKR has "Probability lab" allowing entering custom probability distribution. Tedious but works. It will also build/ evaluate strategy combining options and shares. Emmet Peppers and Matt Smith discuss how they use the Interactive Brokers Probability Lab to analyze options and weigh...

short story I had a quick scan of this thread and why I truely admire @Sandor efforts ... I think they are hopeless, the gap in understanding is just too wide. I will leave it at that and retreat back to my cave to where I am following Kamil Galeev, Sergei Perfiliev and Kasparov. Galeev's...

Yes but this is volume not open interest. You might be very well right, but I am trying to see if there is really useful signal here to be used in the future. Let's take 1050 strike price volume how do we know if the volume spike means increasing/ decreasing open interest at 1050? Is it...

Can you explain why do you think so? I want to understand the reasoning ... I can never get convinced if option volume is driven in changes of behaviour of option holders or option writers.

I was doing something similar since Dec dip … thought it was a good plan but: - burned most of earnered premium on post Q4 delivery report fomo trades (bought short term calls/BCSs for different dates throughout Jan/Feb) - when SP tanked in Jan/Feb I’ve ended up with insufficient margin and...

At risk of sounding like a smart-ass ;) I would like to point out that this leads to incorrect conclusions. Shorter term contracts have more premium (and higher decay) for same strike because the risk of ending ITM is higher One can have a weekly position with similar total yearly premium as...

Do you have good understanding what are exact conditions when IBKR account switches from regular to concentrated margin ? I had some of my accounts switch back and from few times... I do see that under concerted margin rules, only top 3 positions are counted for maintenance margin...

I believe there are 3rd party workstations that integrate into IBKR APIs. I suspect real pros don't use TWS. I remember seeing one commercial product in $50-100 / mth range. There are quite a few listed here: Third party Integration | Interactive Brokers LLC Personally I think I should trade...

Yep Change.org website implements auto-incrementing/self-distancing goal post. It is a well tested strategy, just think about messaging on pandemic measures over the last 2 years :)

Petition to B to acknowledge Tesla: https://www.change.org/p/president-biden-please-acknowledge-tesla-s-ev-leadership (I haven't seen it shared yet, hopefully not a duplicate)

I maybe alone on that but I believe there is large market for simple tasks which Tesla bot should be able to fulfil in span of few years: suburban package delivery: get the package out of the trunk, traverse driveway and steps deliver in front of the door get the food package, walk to the...

Yes it is annoying and frankly quite dangerous as my margin call this week has proved. But I do believe that together on this board we have enough data to come up with some models that are reasonable approximations for both Questrade and IBKR. I will redo my Questrade numbers. I can tell that...

I would assume/hope that they would not flag you as accredited investor automatically, unless you ask for it. BTW I personally value my privacy and believe that asking for Accredited investor status or even concentrating holdings in one institution is like jogging on savannah in front of...

Good point, if you are an accredited investor then, I believe, different risk rules apply. When it happened when the rules were waived did you qualify for Accredited Investor status? Maybe they (person or a nightly batch) removed it. TD is like an icebreaker. It is solid but good luck getting...

Did you redo the math by hand? Questrade UI says 50% but when I did the math across all my positions the effective margin requirment came up >62%, which could be explained by caping of margin loan. It somewhat lines up with @Zhelko Dimic experience with TD. I believe minimum concentration...

Apologies if it is obvious: You can and should setup your own IBKR Margin Cushion warnings in the mobile app (or TWS) under Alerts, I got increasingly dramatic emails send to myself all the way down from 25% to 10%. I list the account nickname in the alert name, which becomes the email title...

Did anyone get chance to "test" IBKR Liquidate Last behaviour? https://ibkr.info/node/223 I have set it on the positions with highest capital gain to maximize tax efficiency of potential liquidation. Call me a chicken but I am afraid running the real life test. I wonder if anyone else...

1. You may actually be lucky Not sure if I do math right but it looks like you have only 30% margin requirements on TSLA. IBKR and Questrade have concentration rules which under some conditions can lift effective margin requirements above 50%. I do not understand exact concentration rules...

I had similar doubts - my indecisive approach is 1/3rd weekly roll, 1/3 monthly roll, 1/3 sold at DITM Jan 2023 PUTs (sold those just before xmas). FWIW I got in trouble with naked PUTs because when I got hit with margin call I was not able to buy protective PUTs before exiting from margin...

are you referring to that "Margin Requirements & Concentration Guidelines": https://www.td.com/ca/products-services/investing/td-direct-investing/accounts/margin.jsp I wonder if those are IIROC (Canadian self-regulator) Rules and therefore will affect all Canadian brokers, I've tried to read...

Following the same line of thinking I'd sold some 2023 ITM PUTs during pre xmas deep dive ... IV was high, share price was low as well. Month later I am in red on those LEAPS ... apparently SP can always go lower ;) I hope your timing is right though.

Quick warning based on my experience today: My "safe naked puts" backfired today because as an account went into margin call my room to manoeuvre shrunk quickly: - This broker usually gives 2 days to cover, today I got few hours. I was less than -2% of on my equity and had their...

Pretty much what I wanted to write but in much better grammar.

This can get really complex so my lazy approach to finding the right balance of spread width risk and safe margin use is to: 1. let myself use almost all (~90%) margin selling plain naked PUTs relativelly close to ATM, 2. when I get in trouble then: - I can restructure those PUTs into BPS...

I think Martin Viecha and Andrej Karpaty are from Slovakia ... but given their small population there is probably no one left :)

I personally agree with your thinking. 1. The volatility pricing inefficiency - the difference between implied and realized volatility is small and is not constant in time. There is money to be made but less than it may appear: Here is good explanation of the theory and expected returns...

If you had inspired your family or friends that investing in a better future can be profitable, you owe them a warning and explanation why ESG funds are a complete Wall Street fraud. Here is the list of "Top 100 ESG" companies: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/11/the-just-100-list.html Notable...

To add to that: - It takes up 4 business days ... DLR needs to settle (2d) and then journaling of DLR -> DLR.U has to settle (2d). - I'd tried once or twice to be smart and use HXS/HXS.U pair for currency conversion, hoping that I will maintain SP500 neutral position during 4 days the...

I really really hope that those are shorts who are selling, not retail investors. I bought few shares today and it would make me feel really good if on the other side of transactions is was a Short. To be fair Shorts will have opportunity to buy back after Q4 earnings ... and I may sell some...

Thats different. Simply belonging to heritable ruling elite is a passive income in itself - you are almost guaranteed a Board appointment for one of the Canada's oligopolies (Banks, Telco) and guest speaking fees for various organization and foundations (We Charity being grotesque extreme but...

Did you put Sell Limit order on them or waiting what will happen ? I bought Jan 7 $1100 Calls for $22 on Friday, I had $42 Sell limit on them, which I just updated to 84.20

Thank you for sharing that. Given your option trading experience it makes for a good benchmark to compare against. I am assuming that you focus on TSLA options. SP is up around 50% in this timeframe so you have generated respectable 16% of "outperformance". It would be interesting to know...

Since 12/9 had to be put on hold... How sure are we that it is not 1/29? Coincidentally it also the anniversary of the "attack" on Jussie Smollett.

I had a similar path. However I diversified into TSLA :) here is what happened. The moment my mortgage was almost finished I've realized two things: 1. Loose monetary policy was working against me, everyone who kept on leveraging up and upgrading houses was wining in asset inflation lottery...

I agree with the way ETFs are fulfilled by market makers, but the question is what counts in the reported sales. At the end of the day net share count changes through both mechanisms: active sales and ETF flows, we see only one number being reported ... I assumed what we see is the sum of...