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(1 - 1/1000000) * 100 = 99.9999

Wow, in only half a day the requirements increased by another 9. What are you measuring with your 9s? (microseconds without a death / total microseconds) ... you need more 9s. (trips without any problems / total trips) ... you have an absurd number of 9s,

2020.24.5.1 was the first version that would continue through green lights. (It required a lead vehicle.)

TACC included with 12.3 no longer changes max speed with speed limit changes. We have sadly been thrown back to 2020.

Tesla hasn't been super consistent in version numbering. I kind of hope they copy Apple. Mac OS 8 came out in 1997. Mac OS 9 came out in 1999. They then stuck with Mac OS 10.x releases for the next TWENTY YEARS. And then 11, 12, 13 and 14. Are you sure FSD 12.85 in 2044 won't be amazing? But...

This is NOT true. https://www.fox9.com/news/appellate-court-minnesota-drivers-dont-have-to-use-innermost-lane-when-turning-left-onto-two-lane-road

(Not actually) smart summon has always been fine with reversing.

"slamming on brakes when a car 500 feet away turns in front me while I’m using cruise control" Does it involve your car making lots of very loud alarm tones? If not, this has absolutely nothing to do with forward collision warning. If you are confident that a car will cross in front of you...

I'm curious what people would consider "Waymo wide." It would only take the 2100 largest US cities would cover right around 50% of people in the US. I am just not sure if that is wide enough to be called wide.

We hope handling 4-way stops is just a matter of feeding more data, but it is also possible the current model just isn't able to make decisions based on what happened seconds ago. What else requires considering what happened seconds ago? Merging/allowing others to merge? Doesn't seem like much else.

Which law is this?

"2015 MS" ... so having absolutely nothing to do with anything that is being talked about, right? A 2015 MS has a rain sensor. A 2015 MS has "Autopilot with convenience features" features provided by Mobileye. "Autopilot with convenience features" is not the basic Autopilot people are talking about.

I guarantee no one will ever deploy a system with unlimited compute.

Seems like you should at least include the rest of the figure.

Definition of what?

Or maybe Tesla will just come to understand that sometimes it gets dark at night. Sometimes it gets very bright after snow falls, too.

How does the code to check E2E work? What are the inputs? What is it checking? Is the checker more reliable than what it is checking? Then why not just use it? Is the checker less reliable than what it is checking? Then isn't it making the system worse?

If you look at the google map (or the video), there is a stop line. It is about 72 feet back from the end of that fog line extension.

If handful means approximately 218 (metropolitan statistical areas).

Doesn't AEB involve very loud beeping? I haven't heard people saying that their phantom braking is accompanied by loud beeping.

OK, after looking into this more, I am curious which state does NOT require a car to pull into the bike lane before making a right turn?

I guess that is one of those things they are going to have to do differently based on the state. In MN (for example), one is required to pull into the bike lane:

I'm curious. Can you suggest a state where this is legal?

Waymo seems less confident of this than you are:

Obviously, to make an interesting demo you need to make something happen that needs to be explained. "I drove straight at constant speed" would be a boring video. The point is not the driving, but the AI explaining what just happened. This would be hilarious on a Tesla. "I swerved around...

My guess is very likely. The timeline is where I get hazy. 6 days, 6 months, 6 years?

I don't recall Tesla ever even hinting that they had any intention of creating an L3 system. Did I miss something?

Crazy thoughts: 1. Complete/fix the software. 2. Fix the maps.

Have you tried pushing the stalk all the way?

Do you have something specific in mind that would cause 5% of US roads to excluded? I am unable to come up with anything that seems reasonable.

Are you saying you think it is illegal to pass on the right when there is an available lane to the right of the person you are passing? For example Maryland Driver's Manual:

The same technology that will make robotaxis practical will also increase the set of people for whom car ownership is practical (elderly people, disabled people, people with suspended/revoked drivers licenses, ...). And then we have children. Will households eventually have a car that exists...

There are plenty of natural numbers greater than 11.

These last many pages have been super interesting. If Tesla delivers something that qualifies as "Level or Category 5 - Full Driving Automation," what will they call it? Probably not "City Streets." Other than that, who knows or cares?

How?

One problem with covering only certain cities is that people occasionally travel between cities. Having to transfer vehicles several times to make a trip seems like a not great experience. When I see people talking about scaling, I find myself wondering how long it will take to cover...

One thing that frequently gets people is that they set make changes to their Easy Entry profile and not the profile they are using while driving. If you have it set to +5 and the speed limit sign on the screen say x, when you engage it should display (x+5) to the left of the speed limit with MAX.

"went from 78 mph to just about 55 mph and stayed at 55 mph for seconds before speeding up again" I can't remember anymore, but does non-FSDBeta TACC slow down and speed up for speed limit changes? (Or does it now?) On FSDBeta TACC, a wrong speed limit would be my most common cause for a speed...

That message is coming from software. Someday they will [probably] update the software to understand that when it is dark out, the side cameras will sometimes see mostly darkness. A similar thing happens with fresh snow in the daylight. Driving next to a snow covered field, the camera sees...

My answer is more like: If it isn't L4*/L5, then FSD isn't fully released, yet. * I look forward to the debates on this site about whether a car that requires XX feet of visibility can really be called L5...

There are 4 or 5 states that allow one to exceed the posted limit while passing on a two lane highway. For example, MN: (And yes, this has nothing to do with the original post. If the car sees speed limits signs with a lower limit, it will slow down. If you don't like it, use the accelerator...

I had no idea that only a small number of US states have a law allowing for increased speed while passing on a two lane highway. The US could really use some standardization of traffic laws. Quick, name the states that require a driver to stop for a school bus with flashing red lights even...

I am pretty sure recall is being used in this sense: Precision and recall - Wikipedia

Why would the car care about the yellow light? Isn't it something like 40 feet past the stop line when the light turns yellow?

What on earth does this mean? 99.9999% of what? One what per million whats?

So a big part of the problem is that what you want TACC to do and what Tesla wants TACC to do are quite different. Tesla seems to want TACC to also: adjust speed for speed limits adjust speed for curves (and maybe sometimes hills?) stop for red lights/stop signs stop for pedestrians stop for...

One thing that I have never understood is how use of a Level 3 system will be distinguished from distracted driving? If you are sitting in the driver's seat doing non driving activities, it seems like people are going to call the police about you, and the police are going to stop you and likely...

(At least some) two lanes on every entrance roundabouts have this helpful message (Lakeville, MN from Google Maps):

There was a time when Elon liked to use the word superhuman to describe [future] Autopilot abilities. If only the speed limit database wasn't horrible, it would be so easy [I assume] to have the car do perfect superhuman deceleration approaching a reduced speed limit.

What kind of rail crossings do you encounter? I can't off the top of my head think of a crossing that I slow down for.