My EDD did update overnight to Aug 26-Aug 29.
Getting a little excited
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2021+ Model S LR Delivery Tracking
- Thread starter baldwin
- Start date
Getting a little excited
My dates updated this morning again. This is the 4th date change during the last 5 days:
August 9th: EDD = Blank
August 10th: EDD = Oct 11 - Oct 31
August 12th: EDD = Sept 22 - Sept 30
August 13th: EDD = Sept 11 - Sept 30
August 15th: EDD = Sept 6 - Sept 26
August 9th: EDD = Blank
August 10th: EDD = Oct 11 - Oct 31
August 12th: EDD = Sept 22 - Sept 30
August 13th: EDD = Sept 11 - Sept 30
August 15th: EDD = Sept 6 - Sept 26
They were fixed at the time. All were very minor in my opinion. Delivery took about 45 minutes including making these minor repairs.
Today it moved by only 1 day back so now 9/20-9/30. Yesterday it was 9/21 -9/30
I also struggle with the homelink. Try standard mode. Push your garage door opener repeatedly when prompted until the heads light flash. I did it a couple inches away from the Tesla logo on the front of the car. Then hit the program button on the garage opener motor once prompted. It worked on the first try for me.
GrnSqrl
LR,blk/blk,19”,rcd 8/25;VIN4392; only waited 235d
TLDR: Tesla has clearly implemented - in a hurry - a more finely-grained automated system to estimate delivery dates, to show on our profile page. Call it the DDM. Not AI, since that requires training, and there's nothing to train it with. In computer jargon, DDM is probably an ugly mess of case and if statements. There's the case 'car has VIN, is linked to a customer, and is in shipment', and many more. Most of us are in an uncertain case, where parts flow and manufacturing schedules aren't yet nailed down. I can't speculate about how DDM can figure all this out - that seems complicated. The whole thing seems even more complicated. There's a case "over 10,000 units away from production", which returns "February", say. Which brings up this: there are bugs in DDM.
Does Tesla have a firm revenue target for September 30? Does DDM take that into account? Well, not directly - this would be built into the manufacturing schedule. That schedule might be something locked in once a week for the coming week, all needed parts in hand, with future weeks only provisional, potentially changing every time a supplier updates its schedule. Just making this up, to give a sense of the problem, and why your EDD changes frequently.
All these cars are ordered, you might say, and Tesla ought to have a system like Porsche does when you order a car - it's a car assigned to you as soon as the order reaches the scheduling department. There are still uncertainties, but which car is yours is not one of them - it can be tracked. Tesla is not like Porsche, however - there are no options for deviated stitching, body-matched mirrors, etc. You always buy a Tesla from inventory, really - a long wait for a suitable car to appear out of a black box as inventory, then a short wait once it's assigned and shipped to you (in theory).
None of this excuses the abysmal communication, which continues. Let's keep harping on this, get some stories written, get Musk to stop thinking about Mars all the time. He has no business complaining about German regulatory dysfunction.
Does Tesla have a firm revenue target for September 30? Does DDM take that into account? Well, not directly - this would be built into the manufacturing schedule. That schedule might be something locked in once a week for the coming week, all needed parts in hand, with future weeks only provisional, potentially changing every time a supplier updates its schedule. Just making this up, to give a sense of the problem, and why your EDD changes frequently.
All these cars are ordered, you might say, and Tesla ought to have a system like Porsche does when you order a car - it's a car assigned to you as soon as the order reaches the scheduling department. There are still uncertainties, but which car is yours is not one of them - it can be tracked. Tesla is not like Porsche, however - there are no options for deviated stitching, body-matched mirrors, etc. You always buy a Tesla from inventory, really - a long wait for a suitable car to appear out of a black box as inventory, then a short wait once it's assigned and shipped to you (in theory).
None of this excuses the abysmal communication, which continues. Let's keep harping on this, get some stories written, get Musk to stop thinking about Mars all the time. He has no business complaining about German regulatory dysfunction.
boonedocks
MS LR Blk/Blk 19”
Narrowed by one more day this morning. From 08/28-09/07 to 08/28-09/06
GrnSqrl
LR,blk/blk,19”,rcd 8/25;VIN4392; only waited 235d
GrnSqrl
LR,blk/blk,19”,rcd 8/25;VIN4392; only waited 235d
Was moved to Feb during the last big EDD...now I have a VIN and a delivery of Aug27-30th ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
RN1499...Red, 21, Black Int
RN1499...Red, 21, Black Int
travwill
Active Member
Awwww, mine haven't moved since Thursday AM. I feel like the monkey works like a bank, only does batch processing say on weekdays overnight for me. :-(
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