Yeah on the last earnings the IV crush was insane specially since the stock went down a lot as well. I would love to be able to get $10 per 100 shares a month but with my current strategy of selling weekly calls 20-30% OTM I think it would be difficult. I think I might be able to make that this month because of the IV is so high but I think I should be able to get 8-6$ consistently unless I sell more aggressive strikes.
Absolutely, I want to shift my strategy to selling longer calls because it does take a lot of time.[/QU
Definitely do some math on this. I did some Excel work over the weekend, trying to figure out where call and put premiums stand (as of when I looked, this weekend) using strikes I would like to be using right now, over a variety of time periods (2-6 mth, plus 1 and 2 year). I found that the premium/mth I could collect dropped steadily over that range, with the calls going steadily down from $10 to $4 per month. I think the 3-5 month covered calls will provide the best balance between effort and premium (around $8/mth premium). (And I'll be checking on this periodically to see whether the pattern holds, and the actual values hold).
The puts though had a range of $15 down to $5. At the very distant expiration options, they're about the same. But close in - zowie. I might focus more on months 2-4 with these, at least for awhile. I might stop caring and aim more for the 3-5 month window to be in sync with the call expirations.
I know that these numbers vary with the IV (a lot), and that there are periods where calls pay more than puts - this 1 time snapshot isn't the whole and complete story.
To get a feel for the range, I ran similar numbers for Apple (name pulled from a hat), and the monthly results were between 1/2 and 1/3rd of TSLA. The lower IV on these options translates to much smaller absolute results. Note that I have no interest in shifting to Apple - I just wanted a reasonably low IV comparison to a different underlying I would at least consider, so I'd have an idea of how this approach would work for me.
Being specific, the Apple calls went from $1.05 down to .67 (2 month to 2 years) and the puts went from 1.25 down to .40. Multiplying by 4 to put these on the same scale, that's $4.20 down to $3.67 on the calls, and 5 down to 2 on the puts.
To make these more like for like, I used 1% of the share price as the monthly target premium (keeping all my other criteria for these option sales in mind as well). For TSLA that works out to a target if about $4 and for Apple that works out to about $1 (each per month), and will change as the shares go up / down.
I also know that for many reasons, this is an odd and potentially dangerous way of looking at things. Focusing on the premiums collected is a reasonably easy way to get into trouble. My purpose is to be thinking about a level of income from this activity that I can live on in retirement. Your results will almost certainly vary, and you make your own choices / suffer your own consequences.
I have been selling puts for ARKK in a smaller HSA account. Not enough $$ here to do much with TSLA options. Actually just trying to get assigned to lower my cost basis and then maybe sell some covered calls.
I had 2 contracts $90 put that expired on Friday. The closing price was 89.88. I checked the account today and it looks like only one got contract got assigned. Is it possible that they don't assign both as the price was so close to the strike?
I would expect both to be assigned as they were ITM. My understanding is that all options that are $0.01 ITM (or more of course) are automatically exercised / assigned after expiration. One thing to keep in mind as well - we've seen situations where OTM options were assigned after end of trading on expiration day. Thus the suggestion that even for options further OTM, put in an order on that final day to sell at .01 (or some other trivial amount) to be sure that there won't be an after hours assignment.
At least at Fidelity and I believe eTrade (in the US), they encourage this behavior (proactive closure of OTM options) by making these buy-to-close orders commission free at an option premium of $0.65 and down.