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ARK's Tesla’s Potential Trajectory During the Next Five Years Report

Buckminster

Active Member
Aug 29, 2018
3,145
15,744
UK
Tesla Price Target: Tesla's Potential Trajectory During the Next Five Years

ARK’s Predicted Scenarios 2024 Price Target Significance
Expected Value

$7,000

This projection is our base case for TSLA’s stock price in 2024 based on our probability matrix.

Bear Case

$1,500

We believe that there is a 25% probability that Tesla could be worth $1,500 per share or less in 2024.

Bull Case

$15,000

We believe that there is a 25% probability that Tesla could be worth $15,000 per share or more in 2024.
 

Buckminster

Active Member
Aug 29, 2018
3,145
15,744
UK
  1. Ark expect Tesla to move towards 40% margins. I am sure this possible but I expect Elon to want to build at such a rate that demand reduces margin to 25%. Elon may not want to rip the customers off even if they can't keep up with demand.
  2. Why are Ark thinking Tesla need to raise cash? FCF was $1Bn whilst building Shanghai etc. They might change this following Elon's recent comments regarding not being able to spend faster.
 

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