You're right,
@hcdavis3 has a LR-RWD, and I think he believes he's been getting 325 miles, but in the past month, his rated range is showing a few miles less than 2 months ago. But, his last reading was 324.5miles, so it's not deg, it appears to be BMS drift, related to ambient temperature change.
My car I believe is still showing 100% at 310 miles, a LR-AWD, but I get these lower numbers from time-2-time, 303 on Nov 14th, for example. Both of us believe we are showing zero deg.
It was only looking at
@hcdavis3's graph that I noticed his looked like mine, and that we were in the same geographical region. That made me think that what we are seeing isn't true deg, but some sort of BMS drift, due to temperature swings. He shows peaks and valleys almost exactly where I show peaks and valleys. Too odd to be a coincidence. The only common link is regional ambient temps.
Now, neither of us are showing the sudden large drops, which may or may not be something different. There could be and probably are multiple things happening at once: temp change, software updates, change in buffers, change in constant, etc. That makes deciphering what is happening difficult. But in some cases, some of those variables are not a factor, making some insight possible. In
@hcdavis3's case and my case, we don't believe were showing deg, since our change is so small, and the possible buffer change and constant change don't seem to be a factor since we're still hovering around 325 and 310, respectively. Which leaves a strongish correlation to temperature change.
Back to your first point, I don't think this is a nominal correlation, ie, if you live in colder temps, you have less range, that's something separate. I think it's the delta, that correlates to BMS drift. So, it doesn't matter if you're going from 100F to 60F, like
@Allistah, or 80F to 30F like
@hcdavis3 and myself. It's the delta that causes the BMS to start to drift, losing track of how it calculates the input and output of voltage. I thought it might be due to vampire drain effects, but that's just my theory.