Climate Change Denial

[eevee-fan]

Florida could soon become uninsurable—and other states will likely follow

The increased risk of extreme weather events, combined with rampant fraud, is making Florida "uninsurable"—a fate that might await other states in the future.

www.newsweek.com

Why are there so many socialists wanting other people to pay premiums to pay for their losses?!? That is so woke! LOL

 

[eevee-fan]

Leprosy Appears to Be on The Rise in Florida

Ah... the good old days are back again!

 

[mspohr]

Opinion | Climate Is Now a Culture War Issue

And it couldn’t have happened at a worse time.

www.nytimes.com

Understanding climate denial used to seem easy: It was all about greed. Delve into the background of a researcher challenging the scientific consensus, a think tank trying to block climate action or a politician pronouncing climate change a hoax and you would almost always find major financial backing from the fossil fuel industry.

True, greed is still a major factor in anti-environmentalism. But climate denial has also become a front in the culture wars, with right-wingers rejecting the science in part because they dislike science in general and opposing action against emissions out of visceral opposition to anything liberals support

But such rational if self-interested considerations won’t do much to persuade people who believe that green energy is a conspiracy against the American way of life. So the culture war has become a major problem for climate action — a problem we really, really don’t need right now.But not if Republicans can help it. The Heritage Foundation is spearheading an effort called Project 2025 that will probably define the agenda if a Republican wins the White House next year. As The Times reports, it calls for “dismantling almost every clean energy program in the federal government and boosting the production of fossil fuels.”

 

[eevee-fan]

Opinion | Climate Is Now a Culture War Issue

And it couldn’t have happened at a worse time.

www.nytimes.com

Understanding climate denial used to seem easy: It was all about greed. Delve into the background of a researcher challenging the scientific consensus, a think tank trying to block climate action or a politician pronouncing climate change a hoax and you would almost always find major financial backing from the fossil fuel industry.

True, greed is still a major factor in anti-environmentalism. But climate denial has also become a front in the culture wars, with right-wingers rejecting the science in part because they dislike science in general and opposing action against emissions out of visceral opposition to anything liberals support

But such rational if self-interested considerations won’t do much to persuade people who believe that green energy is a conspiracy against the American way of life. So the culture war has become a major problem for climate action — a problem we really, really don’t need right now.But not if Republicans can help it. The Heritage Foundation is spearheading an effort called Project 2025 that will probably define the agenda if a Republican wins the White House next year. As The Times reports, it calls for “dismantling almost every clean energy program in the federal government and boosting the production of fossil fuels.”

Actually, there is nothing to worry about, we are just a few years away from AI taking over. First TeslaBot for the army, then Dojo Computer as Viki.

 

[CyberGus]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1685888763522879488

 

[mspohr]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1685888763522879488

Looks like 2019 is peak oil

 

[David_Cary]

I've looked at the trends and 2019 is not peak oil. This is just one country's personal vehicle trend line. Truck shipments increase. More flights. More ships. More plastic.
So unfortunately we are not at peak oil and I am not even sure we are peak US gasoline. First half of 2023 was beating 2019 from what I remember.

 

[mspohr]

I've looked at the trends and 2019 is not peak oil. This is just one country's personal vehicle trend line. Truck shipments increase. More flights. More ships. More plastic.
So unfortunately we are not at peak oil and I am not even sure we are peak US gasoline. First half of 2023 was beating 2019 from what I remember.

 

[kpanda17]

It’s a sad chart, increasing oil use almost 22% since the mid 90’s
vs mid 80s to mid 90s 14%

Still big steps
At least we are off our peak
Based on everyone’s green steps it should only continue to decline

 

[mspohr]

I've looked at the trends and 2019 is not peak oil. This is just one country's personal vehicle trend line. Truck shipments increase. More flights. More ships. More plastic.
So unfortunately we are not at peak oil and I am not even sure we are peak US gasoline. First half of 2023 was beating 2019 from what I remember.

 

[eevee-fan]

View attachment 963345

China should see dramatic decrease in the coming years as there is a national plan to shift away from ICE to BEVs.

 

[mspohr]

China should see dramatic decrease in the coming years as there is a national plan to shift away from ICE to BEVs.

Also their economy is crashing so will need less energy.

 

[David_Cary]

2019 was 100.2 mb/d
IEA predicts 102 this year
First quarter 2023 was at 100.4. You really have to crash the global economy to not be over 2019.

Growth from Europe and Middle East primarily. China has been so slow for multiple reasons - some of which are EV, but some were lockdown and now their economy is faltering.

Even with this - the last full month I could get from China was April at 16.2 - highest month ever. Now - this may wind up being the peak since predictions are hard. But either way, April 2023 beats 2019.

We are still recovering miles driven from Covid. I still do 20% at home. Even if only 20% of workers do 20% at home - that makes a difference. Some of it is permanent but then growth takes it over. So long term predictions aren't simple. 2020-2023 has a big asterisk.

There are plenty of people who are happy to buy a monster SUV or truck as demand falls and so do prices. There are planes to be built with that $2 gas to allow cheap flights. Now - for sure - there are not enough crew etc to ramp up flights really fast. But the growth will come.

Peak oil is probably still a few years away. Sad to say.

 

[eevee-fan]

So much for "Don't California my Texas" LOL

 

[mspohr]

2019 was 100.2 mb/d
IEA predicts 102 this year
First quarter 2023 was at 100.4. You really have to crash the global economy to not be over 2019.

Growth from Europe and Middle East primarily. China has been so slow for multiple reasons - some of which are EV, but some were lockdown and now their economy is faltering.

Even with this - the last full month I could get from China was April at 16.2 - highest month ever. Now - this may wind up being the peak since predictions are hard. But either way, April 2023 beats 2019.

We are still recovering miles driven from Covid. I still do 20% at home. Even if only 20% of workers do 20% at home - that makes a difference. Some of it is permanent but then growth takes it over. So long term predictions aren't simple. 2020-2023 has a big asterisk.

There are plenty of people who are happy to buy a monster SUV or truck as demand falls and so do prices. There are planes to be built with that $2 gas to allow cheap flights. Now - for sure - there are not enough crew etc to ramp up flights really fast. But the growth will come.

Peak oil is probably still a few years away. Sad to say.

IEA??
They have consistently overestimated oil demand. Totally unreliable.

The IEA’s Latest Forecast Is Out: How Reliable Are The Price Scenarios?

The IEA's latest oil price scenarios are more moderate, but not necessarily reliable.

www.forbes.com

 

[mspohr]

 

[mspohr]

Videos denying climate science approved by Florida as state curriculum

Prager University Foundation’s animations cast doubt over renewable energy and liken climate activists to Nazis

www.theguardian.com

Videos that compare climate activists to Nazis, portray solar and wind energy as environmentally ruinous and claim that current global heating is part of natural long-term cycles will be made available to young schoolchildren in Florida, after the state approved their use in its public school curriculum. Slickly-made animations by the Prager University Foundation, a conservative group that produces materials on science, history, gender and other topics widely criticized as distorting the truth, will be allowed to be shown to children in kindergarten to fifth grade after being adopted by Florida’s department of education

The group, which has received substantial funding from Dan and Farris Wilks, two brothers who are petroleum industry businessmen, has also been accused of spreading denial of climate science.

 

[mspohr]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1689426359263674369

 

[mspohr]

It’s time for a new climate populism, to show how the super rich got us – and the planet – into this mess | Andy Beckett

From air-purified penthouses and private jets, a wealthy anti-green lobby feigns common cause with ‘ordinary people’, says Guardian columnist Andy Beckett

www.theguardian.com

Alliances between the rich and financially stretched or anxious parts of the working class and middle class have often sustained the right, ever since the arrival of democracy made a more popular conservatism essential. These coalitions have used the same basic argument against necessary reforms as the anti-green movement is using now. This says that the cost, practical difficulties and general disruptiveness of change are too large. Meanwhile, the status quo is either rosily presented as stable and sustainable, or as the least bad option.

How might the power of this entrenched anti-green lobby be overcome? One step would be for environmental activists and left-of-centre politicians to create a different kind of climate populism, one that makes the role of the wealthy in the climate crisis more clearly and widely understood. “High-consuming households have rarely been the focus of academic studies or policy initiatives,” according to the journal Energy Research & Social Science, “although … many of them have a huge potential to reduce their environmental impact.” Last year, the journal Nature Sustainability reported that since 1990 the world’s wealthiest 1% had been responsible for 23% of global emissions growth, while “emissions from low- and middle-income groups within rich countries declined”.

If a successful pro-climate politics is to be created, it needs a positive element as well, a promise that life would be better in some respects with fewer emissions. The US government is beginning to find the right way to say this. “President Biden sees action on climate change as an opportunity to lower [energy] costs for all Americans, create good-paying union jobs for workers and address the cumulative impacts of pollution on disadvantaged communities,” wrote his energy adviser John Podesta last year. Fossil fuel capitalism is so socially and environmentally damaging that winning over voters to an alternative should not be impossibly hard.

 

[eevee-fan]

Here’s why Texans keep getting told to raise their thermostats this summer

Grid conditions are expected to be normal during a Weather Watch, and there is enough power. So, why the notice?

www.kvue.com

I thought it was to determine the boiling point of Texans.