Norbert
TSLA will win
No it's not, plus it would be a really stupid tactic if it were. You don't gain customers by alienating the majority of potential buyers. Worst marketing strategy ever.
Not a marketing guy, but I'd guess in terms of the graph above, the best strategy would be to go after the largest "Somewhat likely" section.
However I doubt the political slicing is the best slicing that could be done.