I checked this out a bit more, and it works as expected:
0 for the No trip version (since last charge). Since it has no idea what to expect.
And the baseline expectation for a given weight and set of parameters for any other planned drive. If you don’t match those you’ll do better/worse on the uphills and (most likely) worse/better on the downhills. And the difference vs. that baseline will be displayed.
To get the expectation, subtract second column from the first. (Actual - Expected = Difference, So Actual - Difference = Expected)
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For the “rated” mode, it does seem that there is a baseline expectation for climate consumption and accessory consumption which is partitioned in the rated result. I wonder how they arrived at this and whether it really reflects EPA test measurements of these contributors (they do measure it during test). And I wonder for different vehicles types whether the % partitioned to each use are different. (For my car it seems to be 8% for climate and ~6.7% for “everything else” category, see above.).
However I don’t think that would be the root cause of the original noted discrepancy here.