After reading about Waymo and Cruise on these forums, I decided to take a look at some math. The crash numbers are from the last year and from NHTSA reports (sources at the end)
Waymo has a fleet of about 700 cars. According to the report they had 62 crashes. Their incident percentage is
8.86%
Cruise has a fleet of about 30 cars. They had 23 crashes in the report. Their incident percentage is
76.,66%. This is more understandable as they are just starting their testing.
Tesla has a fleet of about 2 million cars. Let's be conservative and say that only 10% of Tesla owners use AP, NoA, or FSD Beta. That's
200,000 cars. They had 273 crashes in the report. Their incident percentage is
0.14%. If we lower the number of cars to just FSD Beta participants, that's
100,000 cars. Their incident percentage is then
0.27%.
I think the sheer number of Teslas on the road is one of the reasons we see more YouTube videos of their accidents on AP/FSD Beta. They, Telsa, also do not spend a dime on advertising, which means media companies prioritize articles/video of anything going wrong in a Tesla. Google and GM spend lots of money on advertising, so it's a little harder to show negative press against them - don't bite the hand that feeds you.
I was surprised at the number of incidents reported by NHTSA on Waymo, as I found it hard to find any crash videos on YouTube for them - just a few from years ago. I wonder why we don't see many crash videos for Waymo or Cruise.
Sources:
NHTSA ADS Report:
https://www.nhtsa.gov/sites/nhtsa.gov/files/2022-06/ADS-SGO-Report-June-2022.pdf
NHTSA ADAS Report:
https://www.nhtsa.gov/sites/nhtsa.gov/files/2022-06/ADAS-L2-SGO-Report-June-2022.pdf