I worked up some numbers. I'm guessing a Model 3 line will be added to Fremont with the capability of producing 2,000-8,000 cars a week. This is assuming a quick ramp up and no issues. I think 4,000 cars a week is most likely.
2,000 cars a week
Quarter Production Total
Q4 2017 10,000 10,000
Q1 2018 21,400 31,400
Q2 2018 26,000 57,400
Q3 2018 26,000 83,400
Q4 2018 26,000 109,400
Q1 2019 26,000 135,400
Q2 2019 26,000 161,400
Q3 2019 26,000 187,400
Q4 2019 26,000 213,400
Q1 2020 26,000 239,400
Q2 2020 26,000 265,400
Q3 2020 26,000 291,400
Q4 2020 26,000 317,400
Q1 2021 26,000 343,400
Q2 2021 26,000 369,400
4,000 cars a week
Quarter Production Total
Q4 2017 10,000 10,000
Q1 2018 31,400 41,400
Q2 2018 52,000 93,400
Q3 2018 52,000 145,400
Q4 2018 52,000 197,400
Q1 2019 52,000 249,400
Q2 2019 52,000 301,400
Q3 2019 52,000 353,400
8,000 cars a week
Quarter Production Total
Q4 2017 10,000 10,000
Q1 2018 36,200 46,200
Q2 2018 104,000 150,200
Q3 2018 104,000 254,200
Q4 2018 104,000 358,200