I would like to explore the possibility of stock price in the next 6 months to 2 years if the Model 3 launch and ramp is fully successful. Every analyst I see covering the stock has the Model 3 launch either a) not happening b) super slow with an incredibly slow ramp c) slow with their 500k target not being hit until 2025 or later. Every hint that Elon has dropped so far has gone counter to that. Past performance is not an indicator for future performance. Model 3 Release Candidate is being built with almost all final assembly line parts. Our tier 1 suppliers are WAY better than any other supplier we've worked with. Model 3 will be a massive cash generator. Stormy weather in shortville... This all leads me to believe that Tesla is either on schedule (meaning 500k runrate by 2018 and 1m by 2020) or AHEAD of schedule. I think it's incredibly important to outline these two points because Q1 ER on 5/3/2017 will be our first look into this. If Elon continues to guide for a July release and no change to ramp guidance, then we know they are 100% ready to launch the car in 2 months from the call (can you believe we are only 3 months away from a full Model 3 release!?!?). If Tesla is able to launch Model 3 on time this July after giving guidance on such more than a year ago (and don't forget, July was the "impossible date" that Elon and team set for suppliers), then that gives me little to no pause re: their ramp abilities. The only bottleneck here becomes charging/service infrastructure. Everyday that goes by without any changes to the guidance and tune of Tesla, it's another day that I grow more and more confident that Analysts will have to change their price targets dramatically from where they are today. If Model 3 is on time, that means cash generation is going to be off the hook, which means a tremendous loop of Cash -> Innovation -> killer products -> cash -> innovation -> streamline process -> cash -> innovation and so on. And let's not forget the Tesla Energy ramp. Once they start ramping up their efforts with Powerwall/pack in the US, but more importantly in places like Australia, Europe, Africa, and the Middle East, then analysts will have to yet again adjust their targets. I personally wouldn't be surprised to see price targets north of $800 based on 2021 performance and guidance. This is figuring the company shipping ~1m cars and energy being roughly 30% of their portfolio with a revenue to EBITDA ratio of 10%. I think this is a very real beast that's about to be unleashed, and people are completely dismissing this as impossible. Something's going on here - and my gut's telling me everyone outside of this forum are 100% clueless to it.