Model 3 Production Rate

[ValueAnalyst]

When will Tesla produce 5,000 Model 3's per week?

 

[ATHiker]

Which year are we talking?

 

[Starno]

I say by February 18 they will achieve it (in 7 and an half week).

 

[bdy0627]

From the Q3 CC: "We expect to achieve a production rate of 5,000 Model 3 vehicles per week by late Q1 2018, so probably sometime in March...I'd like to state a number at the end of Q4, but there's too much uncertainty right now to give that with any precision. Now I do feel confident about the end of Q1, maybe sooner.

I'm still confident these are achievable projections rather than aspirational, so I'm guessing March.

 

[ValueAnalyst]

I say by February 18 they will achieve it (in 7 and an half week).

I'm with you on this one, so it'll probably happen in March

The more important question is, "When will Tesla produce 10,000 per week?" but that's another poll for another day.

 

[ValueAnalyst]

Median is at end-March. Variance is low compared to other polls, which shows confidence in management guidance.

 

[smak]

I think they will purposely not do it for a few months after they can, because the logistics behind getting them out of the factory will be behind.

 

[ValueAnalyst]

Only 15% of voters (maybe) got it right...

 

[bdy0627]

Yeah, so much for confidence in guidance.

 

[bdy0627]

Only 15% of voters (maybe) got it right...

Pretty interesting in light of how accurate the predictions were on the Q4 deliveries and Model 3 production at end of 2017. One would think if those were accurate then this would be too. But no.

 

[ValueAnalyst]

Pretty interesting in light of how accurate the predictions were on the Q4 deliveries and Model 3 production at end of 2017. One would think if those were accurate then this would be too. But no.

You read my mind.