You are basing that on the 75D X (Non-Raven) which is at the low end of Max Range Teslas ...
I'm changing to a LR Model-S Raven in order that I can get rid of my backup ICE. I'm expecting 300 miles at motorway speed, dropping to 250 miles in rain / mid-winter.
Your missing the point of the post....which is MODEL 3 range in rain.
Am NOT asking about X consumption/range I know that after 40k and 3 UK winter's
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What am wondering is if a LR AWD Model 3 would work to replace my wifes self charging hybrid which is used year round for 300 miles work round trips. Given my wife does most of these trips she doesn't enjoy hyper milling, stopping for a charge in the dark by her self, or driving with no heating because of range anxiety.
Add in the fact the total ownership cost of the Lexus over the last 12 months has been £1500 ALL in, that's deprecation + fuel + servicing + insurance, ponning up £30K required to swap the Lexus for a LW Model 3 seems a bit pointless, especially given the fact with a real life range of 200 miles in UK winter conditions virtually all the work trips would require a charging stop where as now its just a case of get into lane 3 on the M-way and than keep going till you get home/destination. Therefore for us swapping the Lexus for a LR Model 3 makes zero sense.
Since you asked about splashing out on a LR S/X as the main car, the figures aren't much better.
Our X was £71K invoice, a new LR X is £91K same spec essentially but more range. The longest regular trip we do is Leicester to Cardiff which our current X does fine, in 3 years I've only had to stop on 2 occasions for a charge due to unpredicted rain/wind etc. We're doing just under 15K a year in the X currently, I've never run out of charge and only charge to 100% a few times a months if that so we rarely even use all the range in our 75D X for family trips. But lets be generous and say the extra range would benefit us in 10% of those trips, so 1500 miles a year. We will be keeping the X for 8 years, so over that time 12K miles of more relaxed journeys due to extra range, now lets assume both cars are worth £0 out of the battery/motor warranty, and factor in the £20K difference in price, that extra range is in effect costing £1.7 per mile, given our X has 'free for life' supercharging, and a 10 minute stop would more than make up any range difference and make zero difference on family trips, paying an premium for extra range we will rarely use if utter financial madness.
Everyones car use is different, overall am very happy with the setup we have now, the EV does virtually all weekend/family trips, and we have the convience of a petrol car for time sensitive long distance work trips. I see very little reason financially or practically to change our cars for the next 5 years, and trust me given how often I swap cars in the past that's saying something!!
I can understand why some people want to go full EV, but lets not pretend that's either practical or economical solution for most UK families, far from it. The more we use EVs the more am seeing why Toyota/Lexus have stuck with 'self charging' hybrids. The fact our Lexus has only depreicated by £500 in the last 12 months tells you most UK car buyers are feeling the same way.
Oh and our Lexus will also soon be 5 years old, total amount of time/money spent on repairs/warranty claims £0/0 minutes, I suspect there isn't a single Tesla owners who has got to 5 years without needing to visit a service centre, for our X I'm now booking appointments in advance in anticipation of faults - going in next week for a stuck door latch - 5th visit so far since Jan this year!
Am sure you're new Raven LR S will be fab, but not everyone in the UK is ready to go full EV just yet, I know we as a family 100% aren't ready for a full EV driveway.