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Monetary Policy, Central Banking and Tesla

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unk45

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Jun 15, 2022
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This thread is to discuss anything that directly deals with the topic. It is intended to be worldwide in scope. The major countries will be:
US (Federal Reserve System, Federal Reserve Banks and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC);
China (People's Bank of China, including trade policy as effected by national and regional governments);
Eurozone (including interplay between Eurozone monetary policy Eurozone tax policy and EU member non Eurozone economies)
Each one of these may well need specific threads if there is enough interest. Much of the content can become both quite arcane and controversial in every case.
 
@Artful Dodger , among others has posted on this subject.
In the most recent post he poses one specific question:
"...How can I make the question more simple? Does the U.S. Government pay interest to the Federal Reserve (or its member banks) on money it borrows from them? Not owe; pay."
The answer is yes. The US Government pays interest on interest-bearing US Treasury securities to every registered beneficial owner. For the record that includes entities that are US Government themselves, such as:

Just as in almost all major countries, it is difficult to describe all this in simple terms. The easiest analogy for readers here may be to compare Tesla with SpaceX. The control of both results in operating control vested in the same people. The ownership itself has large overlap. The entities are legally and logically different.

So it is with the US Government. All the major investing entities in the Federal Government and many at State level
own US treasury securities and receive interest on those investments.

Specifically with Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Banks and, above all, the Federal Open Market Committee the facts are public but very, very few people understand them very well. In my opinion that is mostly because this subject is overwhelmingly boring to almost everyone.
Next: US Monetary Policy and Public Perception...
 
US Monetary Policy tools and public perception:

Just about the only tool the public hears about regarding this issue is interest rates: The one most discussed is the Federal Funds rate, which is actually not a rate, but a range, set to guide banks in their lending to each other, thus it is actually a bit of a misnomer. There are several others:
Sorry, for quoting yet another in my interminable tendency to quote official sources.

As that release shows the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) executes all US official monetary policy, including acting as the primary market maker for US Treasury securities.

The other aspects of monetary policy, interest rate management and inflation control are more arcane and are public but almost never discussed in daily news cycles. Without going into arduous detail, the major ones are:
- changing reserve requirements of US Federal Reserve member banks. To stimulate the economy, lower the requirements. To slow the economy raise those requirements. That raises and lower the amount banks can lend, hence indirectly affect the various interest rates, especially the Federal Funds rates, and can be executed without formally change the target rate range.
-Buying US Treasury securities, thus increasing total financial liquidity, or selling them, which decreases liquidity. This tactic is very frequently used and is effective in growing or shrinking growth in bank lending without directly effecting interest rate changes.
-The FOMC has the only definitive data on ownership, purchases and sales, or US Treasury securities. Oddly, perhaps, there is often dismissal of their data, which informs precisely what countries are buying and selling US Treasury obligations and what their positions are. That information and trends directly influence Federal Reserve mandated monetary policy.

Going deeper in this subject begins to delve in the even-more-arcane subject of Bank regulation and Bank Holding Company regulation. If anybody is inclined to do that I can recommend several sources that can help. To begin with there are five regulators which sometimes/often act in uncoordinated fashion. In stress these all have indirect effects on interest rates that can be substantial. (2008 may the most most recent near-catastrophic time of that confusion.

In short looking only at Federal Reserve Board FOMC minutes gives quite good very short term outlook, but that disclosure is in the form of broad generalizations that may or may not disclose actual activity. Just think about, say, Alan Greenspan, to understand that the language used and disclosures made may mean little in fact.
But...their every word moves securities markets so all the world listens assiduously is search of actual facts. For facts watch the FOMC, that activity is the actual fact, not public positioning.

NOTE: I am fully aware that the press, securities analysts, and financial pundits rarely discuss these things. In context, how many of those same entities understand Giapress or structural battery packs. Why is monetary policy any different?