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Any guess on how the price action will be by this year end?$300's a major psychological number, it's close to several technical numbers, and it's not far off from several simplistic valuation models. I would be deeply unsurprised if a large number of large investors have decided to buy in whenever the stock drops below or around $300. In fact I set up the strike prices for my put sales several months ago based largely on this assumption, which seems to be right...
I'm appallingly terrible at making such guesses. I used to say I was no good at all at short-term, but I seem to be getting a little better. I still suck at this, so I wouldn't dare hazard a guess for New Year's. My target date is still 2019... and I don't exactly have a target price, just "significantly higher than $300".Any guess on how the price action will be by this year end?
Is next week a good time to buy large amount of stocks or is it predicted to lose another 25 points in the short term at a consequence of the 3Q ER?
What's your time horizon?
10 years
10 years
That's what I would suggest here too. Break your purchase up into 2 or 3 blocks and buy 1 block now.This is a topic better suited for the General Discussion thread, but some here think the SP could drop 30 points or even more sometime before the Q4 earnings report in February. If Tesla reports low Model 3 Q4 deliveries during the first week of January with little indication that the ramp is progressing, that could indeed push the price lower. If, however, evidence suggests they are or will be producing 2-3k M3 per week by the end of December, buyers could try to jump in on the stock.
If your time horizon is 10 years and you believe Ron Baron's outlook on Tesla, then buying now or next quarter won't matter much.
You could buy half of your stock now, see what happens, and buy the rest at a later date.
Perhaps the event this weekend that allowed Wall Street analysts to drive a Model 3 helped.