Predictions Competition Poll #6: Curb weight of the base Model 3 (RWD, small battery)?

[Troy]

Hi, everybody. This poll is part of the Tesla Predictions Competition. Check out the competition rules there if you want.

1. You don't have to answer every poll. You can skip 5 polls out of 15. Only your last 10 polls out of the last 15 completed polls will count.

2. Once you submit your vote, you can not change it.

3. You can enter any number you want in 5 lb increments by selecting multiple numbers that add up to the number you want. This is similar to paying cash using bank notes. For example, if you want to enter 5,735 lb, you would select the following numbers:

5 Check
10 Check
20 Check
20
50
100
200
200 Check
500 Check
1000 Check
2000 Check
2000 Check

5,735 = 2,000 + 2,000 + 1,000 + 500 + 200 + 20 +10 +5

4. Here are some Model S curb weight numbers published by Wikipedia (link) to give you an idea about the Model 3:

4,323 lb (Model S 60)
4,410 lb (Model S 70)
4,410 lb (Model S 75)
4,647 lb (Model S 85)

5. Scoring will be as follows:

• If you are 98.7% correct, you get 9.87 points
• If you are 95.4% correct, you get 9.54 points
• If you are 13.2% correct, you get 1.32 points etc

Because you can enter numbers only in 5 lb increments, the correct answer will be rounded before calculations. For example, if the correct answer is 5,738 lb, it will be rounded to 5,735 and 5,740 lb and both of these will be considered correct. The one closer to your answer will be used to calculate the accuracy of your answer using the formula you see here.

6. This poll is about the curb weight of the base Model 3 (RWD, small battery) as advertised by one of these sources:

1. Tesla
2. Car and Driver Magazine (caranddriver.com)
3. Motor Trend Magazine (motortrend.com)
4. Road & Track Magazine (roadandtrack.com)
5. Automobile Magazine (automobilemag.com)
6. Autoweek Magazine (autoweek.com)

The first curb weight number that we are aware of by one of these sources will be used for scoring. The published number must specifically say "curb weight" to be accepted as the correct answer. The scores won't be updated later on if different numbers are published unless,

• two more sources listed here publish a different number within 3 months of scoring and both of them are at least 100 lb higher or lower than the first source or,
• the first source publishes a new number within 3 months of scoring that is at least 100 lb different.

7. Before this poll closes, if a number is published by Tesla, leaked by other sources or tweeted by Elon the poll will be considered closed immediately. You may still be able to vote after that but your vote won't count towards your score in the Tesla Predictions Competition. In other words, you can't use published or leaked official information to help with your answer. Even if you do, your answer won't count.

Thanks