Russia/Ukraine conflict

[SwedishAdvocate]

The Swedish blog that has been posting about the war since Feb 24, 2022 is asking everyone to help spread this Russian Youtube-video to all Russian speakers. It's about the soldiers' wifes protests at the Unknown soldier's grave at the Red Square in Moscow.

The Swedish blog:

Soldathustrumanifestationer vid Kreml mot kriget - extrema ryska manskapsförluster

Det skedde i helgen omfattande soldathustrumanifestationer mot Kriget vid Kreml och även om journalister förts bort och fått filmer och foton raderade vågar inte diktaturen stoppa manifestationerna, som hittat ett kryphål. Bloggen har foton. Ryssland tog extrema manskapsförluster igår men intog någ

cornucopia.se

 

[Tiger]

The Swedish blog that has been posting about the war since Feb 24, 2022 is asking everyone to help spread this Russian Youtube-video to all Russian speakers. It's about the soldiers' wifes protests at the Unknown soldier's grave at the Red Square in Moscow.

The Swedish blog:

Soldathustrumanifestationer vid Kreml mot kriget - extrema ryska manskapsförluster

Det skedde i helgen omfattande soldathustrumanifestationer mot Kriget vid Kreml och även om journalister förts bort och fått filmer och foton raderade vågar inte diktaturen stoppa manifestationerna, som hittat ett kryphål. Bloggen har foton. Ryssland tog extrema manskapsförluster igår men intog någ

cornucopia.se

Would be interesting to hear how this story develops, any recent development, S-curve?

 

[SmokyPeat]

The UAF may be in dire need of 155mm shells and other ammunitions, but they are still managing to take out Russian armor at a fantastic rate.

The Clock Is Ticking As Ukraine Destroys More Russian Vehicles, Faster. The Kremlin Could Run Out Of Fighting Vehicles In Six Months.

In the 705 days since Russia widened its war on Ukraine, Russian forces on average have lost 19 tanks and fighting vehicles a day. On Saturday, they lost 54.

www.forbes.com

 

[Crutonius]

The needs of the UAF seem to be evolving. It used to be all about the shells but I'm starting to think cheap fpv drones are going to be their bread and butter.

In race to make artillery shells, US, EU see different results

DOD’s early success may founder on Congressional inaction, while Europe’s private firms await orders.

www.defenseone.com

"In October, NATO’s senior military officer, Adm. Rob Bauer, said that the price for one 155mm shell had risen from 2,000 euros ($2,171) at the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion to 8,000 euros ($8,489.60)."

8k can buy a lot of FPV drones.

 

[navguy12]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1754510895818907659

 

[Surfer of Life]

Surrendering Russians, if this video is for real.

 

[SwedishAdvocate]

Seems legit:

The Netherlands will supply Ukraine with 6 more F-16 fighter jets which makes a total of 24 fighter jets. The additional 6 are now made ready for transfer.

twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1754504908877726039

https://twitter.com/x/status/1754504908877726039

 

[SwedishAdvocate]

The Kremlin Could Run Out Of Fighting Vehicles In Six Months​

The Clock Is Ticking As Ukraine Destroys More Russian Vehicles, Faster. The Kremlin Could Run Out Of Fighting Vehicles In Six Months.

In the 705 days since Russia widened its war on Ukraine, Russian forces on average have lost 19 tanks and fighting vehicles a day. On Saturday, they lost 54.

www.forbes.com

 

[SmokyPeat]

Confirmation that the MAGURA sea drones that sunk the Ivanovets were piloted via Starlink.

How Ukrainian drones powered by jet skis sunk Russian warship | CNN

amp-cnn-com.cdn.ampproject.org

 

[madodel]

The Kremlin Could Run Out Of Fighting Vehicles In Six Months​

The Clock Is Ticking As Ukraine Destroys More Russian Vehicles, Faster. The Kremlin Could Run Out Of Fighting Vehicles In Six Months.

In the 705 days since Russia widened its war on Ukraine, Russian forces on average have lost 19 tanks and fighting vehicles a day. On Saturday, they lost 54.

www.forbes.com

So why won't the murdering psychopath leaders in China, Iran and North Korea just sell them more? We've been hearing this for over a year and Ruzzia just keeps pulling older and older crap from ancient storage and putting clueless crews in them to die.

 

[madodel]

Front line fighting in Kreminna.

 

[wdolson]

So why won't the murdering psychopath leaders in China, Iran and North Korea just sell them more? We've been hearing this for over a year and Ruzzia just keeps pulling older and older crap from ancient storage and putting clueless crews in them to die.

China has sold Russia very little in the way of weapons and they are cautious about angering the west. The US and the EU buy several hundred times as much as Russia buys from them. China would not be able to survive an embargo so they are being cautious about being too supportive of Russia.

Iran and North Korea both have regional enemies and they aren't going to sell all their weapons to Russia and leave themselves vulnerable. Things between Iran and the US are currently heating up due what Iran's sponsored terrorist groups have been doing. Iran is probably even more reluctant to part with much military hardware now.

North Korea too is always afraid that the Korean war will be back on at any time. They sold Russia a bunch of artillery ammunition, but we know now that a lot of that ammunition was very poor. The North Koreans made some money sloughing off old and degraded ammunition.

Russia might be able to buy some vehicles from outside Russia, but the supply is going to be limited. At the same burn rate it might buy them a month or two, but they are facing a severe shortage by sometime in the summer unless they begin to conserve what they have left.

 

[Artful Dodger]

Russian infantry expelled from assault on central Avdiivka via the northern salient. Seems Ivan has some sort of thermal blanket used to mask heat signatures from NVGs, combined with bad wx limiting drone flts. AFU will need to deploy ground-based motion sensors now.

05 Feb: Russians CROSSED THE DEATH VALLEY & ENTERED AVDIIVKA | War in Ukraine Explained

 

[Tiger]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1754566177278308784

 

[Dangerous Fish]

Where's this interview I've heard so much about?

 

[Crutonius]

Senate's border deal teeters on brink of collapse

During a private meeting on Monday night, Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell did not forcefully whip for or against the bill, according to two attendees.

www.politico.com

Well this is extremely depressing. I don't think we're going to be of much help this year.
Hang in there, Ukraine. Maybe next year we'll have a government that isn't so nihilistic.

 

[navguy12]

Senate's border deal teeters on brink of collapse

During a private meeting on Monday night, Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell did not forcefully whip for or against the bill, according to two attendees.

www.politico.com

Well this is extremely depressing. I don't think we're going to be of much help this year.
Hang in there, Ukraine. Maybe next year we'll have a government that isn't so nihilistic.

More in today’s Guardian Ukraine news feed:

• Senate Republicans close to Donald Trump have distanced themselves from a bipartisan bill that would include wartime aid for Ukraine. Both Democratic and Republican negotiators in the upper house have unveiled their proposal for a US$118bn package of border enforcement and funding for Ukraine, Israel and other US allies. The speaker of the House of Representatives, Mike Johnson, has threatened that the deal would be “dead on arrival” there.

Also of note:

• Russia has admitted that one of its senior occupation officials, Alexey Poteleshchenko, was among those killed when a supposed bakery in Russian-held Lysychansk was bombed. The Kremlin had previously characterised the casualties as civilians. Russian state-run news agencies RIA Novosti and Tass have now reported that Poteleshchenko was a former pro-Russian militiaman who, at the time of his death, was minister of emergency situations in the self-proclaimed, Russian-controlled Luhansk People’s Republic.
• The Ukrainian regional public broadcaster Suspilne Donbas and the Kyiv Independent reported the bakery was set up after the Russian occupation of Lysychansk, and supplied Russian proxy forces, as well as providing a meeting place for Russian-backed officials. Suspilne cited the exiled, Ukrainian-run Lysychansk city military administration as saying: “The arrival [missile strike] was at a time when the occupiers had gathered there.”

Russia-Ukraine war at a glance: what we know on day 713

‘Bakery’ attack targeted Russian officials, not civilians, say Ukrainians; Kyiv mayor Klitschko backs military chief Zaluzhnyi

www.theguardian.com

 

[navguy12]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1754876030563614728

Edit: I hope the “workaround” includes SMEs in cyber warfare from Ukraine, who seem to be quite successful with dealing with this sort of thing.

 

[Tiger]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1754876030563614728

Edit: I hope the “workaround” includes SMEs in cyber warfare from Ukraine, who seem to be quite successful with dealing with this sort of thing.

Don't they ever learn? NEVER give in to Russia's demands. NEVER. It only encourages them to come for more, old Mongol tactic. Go where you can go and don't back up.

 

[CatB]

Don't they ever learn? NEVER give in to Russia's demands. NEVER. It only encourages them to come for more, old Mongol tactic. Go where you can go and don't back up.

Agree.
Also consistent with Timothy Snyder's Lessons from "On Tyranny" (thanks to whoever in this thread reco'd his class):

Do Not Obey in Advance

I would think this advice should apply to nations who terrorize other nations, as well as to citizens who want to fight tyranny of their own leaders and political parties.