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TYVM, i enjoy posts like this that make me thinkHere's just 1 example. SP showed us before Q3 2023 earnings that it was going to fall on earnings.
How much would it cost to +p ~ 140-145, one of the two for 4/5… just as a maginot line hedge.Next week holding:
4/5 -182.5C for TSLA
4/5 +165P/-155P for TSLA
4/5 -900P for NVDA
4/5 -892.5 for NVDA
.17 to .11 for 4/5How much would it cost to +p ~ 140-145, one of the two for 4/5… just as a maginot line hedge.
I'm still curious why people play P&D and ER weeks. Is it the lure of higher premiums ... ?4/5 -182.5C for TSLA
4/5 +165P/-155P for TSLA
Took this opportunity to rolled my June 250 naked short calls to 1/2025 naked short calls. Add some more -450Cs in the process as a hedge for further down side but getting rid of those -250Cs helps me be ready in the event of a spike. Win-win.
That was going to be my question too!… it reads like a several order of magnitude spike in TOTAL premiums paid - and red I guess means PUTS, and a S…t. TON of them? But, maybe it’s just the point in time marker. ;-)
yes, OTM ASK call-put = net large put buys
Ugh. So now I’ve got to ask, is there any truth if there are so many puts down below share price won’t “go there”?yes, OTM ASK call-put = net large put buys
No, just no.
Mod, pls purge everything from 05:07 AM till now, other than possibly the new lowering of EPS guidance on TSLA.
don't panic, could be hedgeUgh. So now I’ve got to ask, is there any truth if there are so many puts down below share price won’t “go there”?
My default scenario has been a spike since earlier in the week, as my conditions were met. Whether that spike marks the end of this potential DCB or the beginning of a bull run, I'll be on my toe the whole time. If it's a new bull run, it'll be the 1st wave so I'd rather hold -450C and give it time to pull back and consolidate once 220-240 is hit, vs trying to stop it with June -250C. As such, I'm comfortable with adding more -450Cs, counting on both a consolidation and an IV crush within the next 3 months. Please don't misconstrue this post as a bullish call for 250.Nice to hear DL having a glimmer of a chance for a spike
OK folks, I will take the wisdom of the hive-mind here and stay out of it... although I did the calculations and it was a pretty safe trade, but yeah, also would make me feel a bit queasy touching that stock...Y'all wanted to talk about other stocks too. NVDA, MSCI, AAPL. Then DJT qualifies as well
But it's a dangerous one, because it can quickly become political. The last few posts about DJT got very close to meeting the mod hammer.
My default scenario has been a spike since earlier in the week, as my conditions were met. Whether that spike marks the end of this potential DCB or the beginning of a bull run, I'll be on my toe the whole time. If it's a new bull run, it'll be the 1st wave so I'd rather hold -450C and give it time to pull back and consolidate once 220-240 is hit, vs trying to stop it with June -250C. As such, I'm comfortable with adding more -450Cs, counting on both a consolidation and an IV crush within the next 3 months. Please don't misconstrue this post as a bullish call for 250.