juanmedina
Active Member
So...buy low volatility, sell high volatility?
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I wish it was that easy . On my last two trades I sold low volatility and I am still trying to figure out how to get out them .
So...buy low volatility, sell high volatility?
The idea is that at mega high volatility the pendulum effect is theoretically going to damp out underlying price action as time moves on. A straddle maximizes capturing that volatility since both sides of the position are at max extrinsic value. Yes, the idea is to close before expiration, though thinking out loud one could imagine using a straddle to enter into a share purchase or unload at a more favorable cost basis.
But anyway...for a normal ATM straddle that is intended to be closed, management of the position is pretty critical to consistent success, either by rolling up/down to follow big price moves, or offsetting deltas with shares/shortshares. The rub is that if you're in the center of your profit window max profit really spikes up in the last day or two of the position, so you kinda have to hold it out till the end. If you get an early expiration on Friday just turn around and close the executed trade.
As an augmentation to the ATM straddle concept, one could fold in the max pain theory and set the initial strikes at max pain. That theoretically maximizes profit at (near) expiration by minimizing the amount of intrinsic value the position accumulates. If the strikes are offset from ATM that doesn't change the
For funsies, here's an end of month ATM short straddle.
View attachment 626777
And here's a 760/860 short strangle. If you think of it a bit as an area under the curve problem where the areas is more or less equal to above (that's not a thing really, but it helps the visualization), you'll note that the max profit "peak" from above got smushed into a lower but wider "plateau".
View attachment 626786
It kinda depends on your perspective of "better". A strangle has a slightly wider profit window, but less maximum profit. So, assuming perfectly played positions, over time your total profit from a straddle strategy requires fewer trades. Fewer trades = less exposure, which is usually a good thing, and fewer trades = more capital available for other trades, which is usually a good thing.
FTR, I don't straddle or strangle. I don't naked.
Thanks for that post it was very helpful. So you don't sell naked puts either? I was thinking about doing +/- 30% from SP weekly strangles for pennies when IV is high. I need to fund that Tesla Roadster some how .
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