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Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

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After this Friday (call wall at $220) calls fall off for the whole November and TSLA is put heavy 👀

11/10 - 12/01

1698689464455.png




For comparsion, here is 11/3 (this Friday):

1698689590688.png
 
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Post in thread 'Selling TSLA Options - Be the House'
Wiki - Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

What do you make of them?

Are they possibly "old" protective puts left over from the painful days of 2022 or a hint we going down steeply? There's no way so many people knew so far back that TSLA would have poor sales and give lousy guidance, unless it's just a good guess or things work differently ;- )

Edit: I recognize that the options field can change bullish on a dime when sentiment shifts, so nothing is set in stone.
 
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BTO/added 2 more +C300 1/16/26 @$37.22.

In addition to long commons position, holding as of now:
6x +C300 1/16/26 @$43.22 avg. (red ~$3k)
8x +C150 12/19/25 @ $149.80 avg. (red ~$50k 👀)

25x -P300 12/19/25 @$98.39 avg. (red ~$45k)
May have to manage this one if we break $190 and race down; possibly flip to -C500 12/2025 until bottoms?

25x +P120 12/15/2023 @$0.50 (**Sugar** puts)
 
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Do you have a read/theory on the bearish November options positioning or is it simply the lousy guidence?
I don't much care for that data. Never got anything useful out of it so I don't get why people keep speculating over it. I sell a lot of calls and puts. When I see call prices crashing and/or put prices jumping disproportionally to the underlying movement, I get defensive. Otherwise, people can burn money in any way they see fit. Unfortunately, the balance between the calls and puts in my account has been pushed to the extreme so I need a few more days to recalibrate. There's not much I can read from premium today. Right now the chart says there's little meat left on the short bone.
 
I don't much care for that data. Never got anything useful out of it so I don't get why people keep speculating over it. I sell a lot of calls and puts. When I see call prices crashing and/or put prices jumping disproportionally to the underlying movement, I get defensive. Otherwise, people can burn money in any way they see fit. Unfortunately, the balance between the calls and puts in my account has been pushed to the extreme so I need a few more days to recalibrate. There's not much I can read from premium today. Right now the chart says there's little meat left on the short bone.
Thanks.

The BEST part of all of this is that we don’t have to wait to the end of the year to see how your bet re TSLA being below $200 plays out. Seems the broader TSLA market sent a loud a clear signal for you to stay with us ;- )

❤️

PS Now we need to aim for $300 by end of 2024 if we can be so lucky 😎
 
No, I'm done with puts. I bought calls for next week.

Was planning to wait to see if there's more downside so Call become cheaper. Will wait for the V and FOMC and Apple impacts.
The market is a tough casino but with all the awesome poker hands we have here we can collectively learn and wins more then we lost, ....... I hope :)

Powell might surprise us and we enter a soft landing soon and that $300 target wont be that far off.