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Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

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Looks like there are a lot or calls for after P&D and the week after. People betting on SP going up?

It does look like that, but as @Yoona shared it's a bit murky ATM.

At the end of the day the reaction to the $183 area will be key if/when seen. Closing over $183 and then $204 will give confidence that $160 was the low. Until then we'll need to keep our suspenders on and hedges in place NFA.

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As a play on p&d next week I'll be looking to make a small bet on a straddle with 4/5 expiration. Currently this is the breakeven for a 172.5 straddle purchase of a call and put. Breakevens are 160.8 and 184.2. Will make the purchase on 4/1 most likely near end of day
How about adding a cheap iron butterfly to that...just in case we go flat?

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Do see some nice AH upward movement @173.80 now. Let hope that can continue into tomorrow opening.

Have a feeling those FSD developments/reviews are having some positive effects.......
While I'm not saying this is what happening now, if institutions started buying TSLA based on FSD, this would be the way to do it, not a huge squeeze out of the blue. Just a lot of steady buying at the lows. The squeeze only comes when it starts showing on earnings. Still think this is just short covering.
 
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Just fyi, Dec 2026 TSLA LEAP options now available
Nice! Seems only $10 more on avg. than June 2026 for 6 extra months (but only $3 from January 2026 to June 2026 👀).

For the LEAP buyers here, when do you pull the trigger and any preference for strike (and why)?

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Approx difference of price if buying now, waiting for bigger dip if it comes, or over $205 to confirm low is in:

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Nice! Seems only $10 more on avg. than June 2026 for 6 extra months.

For the LEAP buyers here, when do you pull the trigger and any preference for strike (and why)?

View attachment 1032129

Approx difference of price if buying now, waiting for bigger dip if it comes, or over $205 to confirm low is in:

View attachment 1032130
The bid-ask is usually pretty wide the first few days to weeks. I’m looking to roll my 1/26s 100c and 150c once the spread becomes more reasonable.