Man the news outlets are still asleep. Have not seen anyone other than street insider with the story of the new 385 pt
CNBC finally mentioned it & Barron's earlier this morning Tesla: - Stocks to Watch - Barrons.com
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Man the news outlets are still asleep. Have not seen anyone other than street insider with the story of the new 385 pt
Potential Catalysts coming up:
- News about the mixed production line being online and running smoothly (with first Model Xs going through?)
- Model X Alpha/Beta/Production Reveal
- First Model X Order Confirmations (?)
- Gigafactory news (site confirmation, new partners etc.)
Looks to be trending down after the pop this morning... but it is holding out ok. At this rate I would put it at 261 - 261.50 closing price. But if we can hold out this should be a solid bullish signal to go ahead and continue on up. Hopefully we don't have a case of the Tuesdays tomorrow... With a giant intraday drop.
I hope we can stay above $263, it'd mean we pierced the M.
You are the one with the "proprietary formula" you tell me!
But the beat on the "M" (double top) if we are basing this on closing price, will just need to beat 262.01... at least according to Google's historical prices.
There is my need to be right and become the Tesla prophet with my proprietary formula and then there's making money. Any time I can make more money I choose that.
Well, 262.55 closing puts at a new high for closing. Makes all of last week seem forgotten. I am cautiously optimistic that we will continue going up.
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OMG The FUD... It burns us, precious!
OMG The FUD... It burns us, precious!
That was a particularly good one... by which I mean ignorance of the realities... creative with the untruths... etc.
It would appear that Bloomberg is descending into click-bait. Even though the video header frame is a picture of Elon Musk, he does not appear in this clip... this is not an Elon Musk interview in case anyone about to click it thinks it will be. It's not. Just a couple of pundits waffling on.
OMG The FUD... It burns us, precious!
-If they were supposed to be at 800 out the gate and they are going to ramp up to 1000 in 3-5 weeks, lets go with 4 as a medium, a sequential ramp each week would be an extra 50 a week (800 this week, 850 the 1st, 900 the 2nd, 950 the 3rd, 1000 the 4th - which is the week starting Sept 22).
-One week behind, based on this assumed sequential ramp, means to me that everyone got shifted back 1 week and the ramp up will close that gap.
-Given that noone has had a shift in dates from ~15th on you can reasonably assume that they will be caught back up by then which would be the start of week 3 or at 900 a week run rate.
How we still meet guidance:
-9000 estimated produced for Q3.
-Pre-shutdown as far as I know they were running 5 days a week, at 160 cars a day giving 14 working days for 2,240.
-Startup on Aug 4th and lets just assume this week starts at 800 with my carry forward estimate of 1000 by week 5, that gives ~4,900 cars produced starting today through the end of the Quarter.
-Combined would equal 7,140 leaving our unknown 3 week gap in which they will need to have made 1860 cars, which is an average of 620 a week (note this would include Saturdays for right now, unclear how long they are going to be running 6 days)...
-while this would be "behind" in terms of starting back up at 800 from the get-go, they clearly still have wiggle room assuming they averaged 620 cars each week over the past week.
-To give a simple example, they could have been running at 560 week one, 600 week two, and 700 week three and STILL clear their guidance.