Hello All - thought it would be fun to start a thread to share ideas & predictions on the impact of autonomous vehicles. Please share your thoughts on what the future might look like . . . Here are some of my own thoughts on the topic: Self-driving cars will become ubiquitous Self-driving will lead to phasing out of human drivers (after >50% or so of cars on the road are self-driving, the human drivers will be the unsafe variable). Self-driving will lead to fullly-autonomous vehicles, giving rise to Uber-like business models for passengers & delivery of goods Uber-like availability of cars, with no drivers, will make on-demand transportation cheaper than owning your own cars & trucks As on-demand autonomous vehicles gain share, car utilization rates will go up sharply (average in US today is ~5%). These cars could theoretically achieve 85%+ utilization For each doubling of utilization rate, annual car sales could be cut in half (not including technology shifts and accelerated wear) Car makers will innovate more quickly to survive, leading to even faster technology evolution (the end state comes sooner) Eventually, only a handful of car makers remain And if we think even further: Automotive insurance companies will have to totally reinvent themselves Garages will be re-purposed (maybe the storage business will decline as people opt to bring their stuff back home) Mobile wifi-enabled offices for longer commutes will become commonplace Living in the suburbs, farther from work, will be OK Etc. Fun, but also a bit ominous, to speculate on such things!