I believe some here are focusing on the OP's 10 mile commute and the 100-200 mile/week average and glossing over this very important aspect of his needs:
"Depends if I'm hiking or not. When I do hike, there are slow local chargers near to where I hike(picture shows chargers and the green blob is where I hike), but my friend is willing to "lend" me his car for those days in the winter when I need more range (just my day off when I hike). .
Am I overthinking this or should I go for it? The only thing that scares me is the loss of range in the winter. Right now, it's 28°F and snowing. I've heard the loss of range in the winter could be up to or near 50%. That's a significant amount of miles taken off. We have an ICE car for the longer trips in the winter if that helps."
So, consider he is someone who takes long(ish) trips to hike...sometimes in winter...which may significantly skew his otherwise manageable distance.
If the OP sometimes needs his friend to "lend" him his ICE car for those winter hikes, then wouldn't he be better suited with a longer range battery?
If not, then why?