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SR/SR+ (Model 3 RWD) Waiting Room

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It is down the corner, why change? what is your OD?

This is why, lol:

Ordered: 9/30/2021
EDD Initially: March 2022
EDD as of 10/1: Dec 6 - Dec 31
EDD as of 10/20: Dec 23 - Dec 31
EDD as of 10/28: March 19 - April 16
EDD as of 11/12: January 21 - February 18
EDD as of 11/21: Dec 16 - Dec 31
EDD as of 12/3: March 10 - April 7
EDD as of 12/8: Feb 20 - March 20
EDD as of 1/20: TBD
EDD as of 1/20: Feb 20 - March 20
Trade in text: Feb 12
EDD as of 2/15: March 12 - 31
EDD as of 2/26: April 17 - May 15
EDD as of 3/5: March 11 - 31
EDD as of 3/10: April 17 - May 15
EDD as of 4/16: May 11 - June 15
EDD as of 4/25: May 15 - June 12
EDD as of 5/1: July 7 - August 18
EDD as of 5/27: July 14 - August 18

I've had a lot of "just around the corner" moments. Getting pretty frustrated.

But haven’t changed yet. Still waiting lol
 
Last edited:
This is why, lol:

Ordered: 9/30/2021
EDD Initially: March 2022
EDD as of 10/1: Dec 6 - Dec 31
EDD as of 10/20: Dec 23 - Dec 31
EDD as of 10/28: March 19 - April 16
EDD as of 11/12: January 21 - February 18
EDD as of 11/21: Dec 16 - Dec 31
EDD as of 12/3: March 10 - April 7
EDD as of 12/8: Feb 20 - March 20
EDD as of 1/20: TBD
EDD as of 1/20: Feb 20 - March 20
Trade in text: Feb 12
EDD as of 2/15: March 12 - 31
EDD as of 2/26: April 17 - May 15
EDD as of 3/5: March 11 - 31
EDD as of 3/10: April 17 - May 15
EDD as of 4/16: May 11 - June 15
EDD as of 4/25: May 15 - June 12
EDD as of 5/1: July 7 - August 18
EDD as of 5/27: July 14 - August 18

I've had a lot of "just around the corner" moments. Getting pretty frustrated.

But haven’t changed yet. Still waiting lol
You’ve been a lot closer than me. I have been perpetually 2 months away since January. I got the trade in text around Halloween.
 
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This is why, lol:

Ordered: 9/30/2021
EDD Initially: March 2022
EDD as of 10/1: Dec 6 - Dec 31
EDD as of 10/20: Dec 23 - Dec 31
EDD as of 10/28: March 19 - April 16
EDD as of 11/12: January 21 - February 18
EDD as of 11/21: Dec 16 - Dec 31
EDD as of 12/3: March 10 - April 7
EDD as of 12/8: Feb 20 - March 20
EDD as of 1/20: TBD
EDD as of 1/20: Feb 20 - March 20
Trade in text: Feb 12
EDD as of 2/15: March 12 - 31
EDD as of 2/26: April 17 - May 15
EDD as of 3/5: March 11 - 31
EDD as of 3/10: April 17 - May 15
EDD as of 4/16: May 11 - June 15
EDD as of 4/25: May 15 - June 12
EDD as of 5/1: July 7 - August 18
EDD as of 5/27: July 14 - August 18

I've had a lot of "just around the corner" moments. Getting pretty frustrated.

But haven’t changed yet. Still waiting lol
You've got about the same pattern of push backs as me and we ordered only a few days apart (Oct. 3, 2021). My current EDD is July 20-August 24.
 
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Why I like this 1st chart :
Look at the Q1 LR orders. 475% more LR compared to SR+. Normal that currently we seem to see only LR VINs in Q1 and Q2.

Now look at how the almost ending Q2 is shaping up. The percentage drops to 50% more LR compared to SR+.

Of course these numbers are biased by the fact that some or many original Q1 SR+ buyers switched to LR at some point. If an SR+ order was placed in Q1 and switched to LR in Q2, it still show as a Q1 LR order as the survey's data does not track model switching.

Order Q1-Q2.jpg

Another positive chart. See how the March peak is gradually melting and flattening the curve. I remember seeing 209 a month ago.

LR-OS.jpg

I'm confident (or should I say hoping) that we'll be up for improvement shortly.
  1. LR Outstanding order melting
  2. Q2 LR order smaller
  3. Tesla new LFP cell supplier.
  4. All of us praying the EDD holly God every night :)
*As always all that analytic is based on our small, mini, little, tiny data sample and on users goodwill data reliability.
 
Why I like this 1st chart :
Look at the Q1 LR orders. 475% more LR compared to SR+. Normal that currently we seem to see only LR VINs in Q1 and Q2.

Now look at how the almost ending Q2 is shaping up. The percentage drops to 50% more LR compared to SR+.

Of course these numbers are biased by the fact that some or many original Q1 SR+ buyers switched to LR at some point. If an SR+ order was placed in Q1 and switched to LR in Q2, it still show as a Q1 LR order as the survey's data does not track model switching.

View attachment 814921

Another positive chart. See how the March peak is gradually melting and flattening the curve. I remember seeing 209 a month ago.

View attachment 814923

I'm confident (or should I say hoping) that we'll be up for improvement shortly.
  1. LR Outstanding order melting
  2. Q2 LR order smaller
  3. Tesla new LFP cell supplier.
  4. All of us praying the EDD holly God every night :)
*As always all that analytic is based on our small, mini, little, tiny data sample and on users goodwill data reliability.


And for FWIW : 🧐

 
So, hello I'm New here. :)
I ordered M3 RWD on February 19,2022 (Montreal area)
Anyone else from February ?
I ordered a little bit earlier in February. Here is my history:

Model 3 RWD/MSM/Black/18"/No FSD/Chicago
Order Date: 2/6/2022

Estimated Delivery Date History:
2/6/2022: October 2022
2/8/2022: May 17 - June 14
3/7/2022: August 2022
3/12/2022: July 25 - August 22
5/13/2022: August 11 - September 22
 
I ordered a little bit earlier in February. Here is my history:

Model 3 RWD/MSM/Black/18"/No FSD/Chicago
Order Date: 2/6/2022

Estimated Delivery Date History:
2/6/2022: October 2022
2/8/2022: May 17 - June 14
3/7/2022: August 2022
3/12/2022: July 25 - August 22
5/13/2022: August 11 - September 22

Here is my history
Model 3 RWD/White/White/Aero/No FSD/Montreal

OD : 2/19/2022

EDD history:
2/19/2022 : June
3/4/2022 : July
3/12/2022 : July 18 - August 15
4/24/2022 : August 3 - September 14
 
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After being stuck at July 8-Aug 19 for around 2 months, today my EDD changed to July 29-Sept 2. Very frustrating, I didn’t expect to get pushed back again since my OD was way back on 9/11/21. Anyone else have such a late EDD with such an early OD?
Hi, it's been a couple weeks almost have you seen any movement either direction? Your order is one of the oldest on here (I think) so you must be getting close...?