That's a pretty bold claim. Are you prepared to eat your hat (or shoe) if your prediction turns out to be wrong?
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That's a pretty bold claim. Are you prepared to eat your hat (or shoe) if your prediction turns out to be wrong?
Yuri_G
Member
The bears seem to conveniently forget that the ramp with the X is going almost exactly the same as it did with the S. Do any of the naysayers remember what happened one year after the S launch?
I am looking forward to reminding you of that statement at the end of 2016 when it will be clear that Tesla has had another record-breaking production year.
By the way, your location is shown as being "earth". Are you sure of that? Might want to check...
stealthology
Member
stopcrazypp
Well-Known Member
It's not going to be 100% accurate, but it's a decent estimate:
https://modelxtracker.com/public_modelxtally.php
dc_h
Active Member
With orders to fill their production capacity through June (30,000 Model X and about 5,000 Model S), success for 2016 will be ramping production above 1600 cars a week and getting GF phase 1 complete. If they produce over 35,000 in the first half of 2016, they should produce 80,000 for the year. If GF phase one is done, Tesla Energy should hit 1bn in revenue and begin pouring concrete for phase 2 by Q4 2016.
Model 3 is the beginning of meeting their mission statement. If they succeed, it will move the dial from an early adopter car to mainstream consciousness. Success for Model 3 in 2016 would be over 50,000 orders.
I would like to also see them move the original Line 1 and original paint system to the Europe factory to reduce currency impact and speed up deliveries. Probably a stretch, but would like to see the groundwork set for a second plant by end of next year.
Model 3 is the beginning of meeting their mission statement. If they succeed, it will move the dial from an early adopter car to mainstream consciousness. Success for Model 3 in 2016 would be over 50,000 orders.
I would like to also see them move the original Line 1 and original paint system to the Europe factory to reduce currency impact and speed up deliveries. Probably a stretch, but would like to see the groundwork set for a second plant by end of next year.
I disagree. As a Model S owner with an X on order, I'm so excited about the windshield and the doors that I'm about to explode. There are going to be a lot of jealous wives in other luxury SUVs when the X starts hitting the streets, and the X will quickly outsell other $70K and up SUVs, just like the Model S outsells all other car makers in the large luxury car market.
Considering the world-wide distribution and well-known quality of Model S plus the much larger market for Model 3, the orders for Model 3 should far exceed anything we've seen for Model S or Model X. One million orders at the time Model 3 is first delivered is not out of the question; several hundred thousand orders by the end of 2016 would not surprise me, especially if the deposit is $2,000.
Gerardf
Active Member
500.000 reservations at US 2.000 each total 1B. Model-3 would be the biggest "kickstarter" funded product ever.
I think that Tesla Motors will announce in June 2016 (at the latest) further investments for their plans for expansion of the production capacity of both the Tesla Model S and the Tesla Model X at the Fremont factory.
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