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I've worked at manufacturing companies in the past, seems likely it's due to all the days people get off over Xmas & New Years.
i think we have to take following into consideration. california owners aren't as inclined to get LR (i.e. about 50/50 LR/some config that's not available). outside of california, more owners went for LR for various reasons. i.e. if you sent invite on 4-jan to 5k people and 4k said they want LR, you won't have to send out invites next 2 weeks.
 
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i think we have to take following into consideration. california owners aren't as inclined to get LR (i.e. about 50/50 LR/some config that's not available). outside of california, more owners went for LR for various reasons. i.e. if you sent invite on 4-jan to 5k people and 4k said they want LR, you won't have to send out invites next 2 weeks.

Do you mean that customers in California are more likely to wait for the standard battery? Is this what the reservation / order data are showing? If so, that's great news for those of us in CA who want the long range battery!
 
The LR vs Standard breakdown seems very similar when checking the data at Model3Tracker. For all of the United States:
Code:
Battery
Standard Battery (Standard) 1788/4872 (36.7%)
Long Range Battery (Optional) 3084/4872 (63.3%)

for just CA:
Code:
Standard Battery (Standard) 420/1264 (33.2%)
Long Range Battery (Optional) 844/1264 (66.8%)


SpiceWare, that makes more sense to me! As a Californian, this is what I would expect (for TX too!) -- more people want/need the long range battery. OK, the wait to configure continues...
 
Do you mean that customers in California are more likely to wait for the standard battery? Is this what the reservation / order data are showing? If so, that's great news for those of us in CA who want the long range battery!
one of the polls i've seen was something like >50% of owners opted to wait and not get first production (its not really LR vs SR but first production vs something else which comes later).
 
The LR vs Standard breakdown seems very similar when checking the data at Model3Tracker. For all of the United States:
Code:
Battery
Standard Battery (Standard) 1788/4872 (36.7%)
Long Range Battery (Optional) 3084/4872 (63.3%)

for just CA:
Code:
Standard Battery (Standard) 420/1264 (33.2%)
Long Range Battery (Optional) 844/1264 (66.8%)

thank you, this is informative. my point i guess should be rephrased. by LR i meant first production vs wait for SR or LR with AWD, no PUP, Performance. more people are willing to wait than get first production.
 
Looking at all options the percents are very close with the exception of RWD vs AWD.

United States as a whole:
Code:
RWD (Rear Wheel Drive) (Standard) 2427/6107 (39.7%)
AWD (All Wheel Drive) (Optional) 3680/6107 (60.3%)

CA only
Code:
RWD (Rear Wheel Drive) (Standard) 813/1543 (52.7%)
AWD (All Wheel Drive) (Optional) 730/1543 (47.3%)

Based on that it seems that CA leans more towards First Production than the rest of the country.
 
Looking at all options the percents are very close with the exception of RWD vs AWD.

United States as a whole:
Code:
RWD (Rear Wheel Drive) (Standard) 2427/6107 (39.7%)
AWD (All Wheel Drive) (Optional) 3680/6107 (60.3%)

CA only
Code:
RWD (Rear Wheel Drive) (Standard) 813/1543 (52.7%)
AWD (All Wheel Drive) (Optional) 730/1543 (47.3%)

Based on that it seems that CA leans more towards First Production than the rest of the country.

hmm, do you have info on PUP/no-PUP and Performance vs no Performance? thanks for providing this! you're slowing proving my point incorrect :)
 
United States:
Code:
No Premium Upgrades Package (Standard) 2007/4849 (41.4%)
Premium Upgrades Package (Optional) 2842/4849 (58.6%)

Drive Train:
Standard Equipment (Standard) 4445/5869 (75.7%)
Performance (Optional) 844/5869 (14.4%)
Ludicrous Speed Upgrade (Optional) 580/5869 (9.9%)

CA:
Code:
No Premium Upgrades Package (Standard) 514/1277 (40.3%)
Premium Upgrades Package (Optional) 763/1277 (59.7%)

Drive Train:
Standard Equipment (Standard) 1146/1512 (75.8%)
Performance (Optional) 216/1512 (14.3%)
Ludicrous Speed Upgrade (Optional) 150/1512 (9.9%)
 
It’s disappointing. Was expecting to see notices of new invites yesterday or today but haven’t seen anything on TMC or Twitter.

You would think if they are really producing 1000 per week, invites would need to go out.

Yea I don't understand the process at all. I was at the Decatur store in Georgia today and there were 9 Model 3's in the parking lot. I talked to the Delivery Specialist and he told me that "the cars are coming faster than people think." He said they actually do not have a complete plan for deliveries yet and he had to do the training tonight before they start the deliveries. Seems like they are just shipping cars and not inviting everyone just yet. Maybe we will get the invite and receive the car really fast. He said they had tons of cars coming to their location really soon.
 
I had a discussion in passing with the service manager in Portland on Monday. They are actively trying to figure out where to put incoming Model 3 deliveries from the factory. The new facility is already maxed out in terms of space.

By the way...super awesome service center and staff in Portland, OR. Everybody is amazing there.
 
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Just completed the configuration process ... now the 4 week wait begins :cool:

upload_2018-1-12_15-44-4.png
 
It’s disappointing. Was expecting to see notices of new invites yesterday or today but haven’t seen anything on TMC or Twitter.

You would think if they are really producing 1000 per week, invites would need to go out.

I don't know for sure yet, but I haven't seen any Vin #s reported much over 4100 yet mentioned just-above. There hasn't been a week of 1000 output yet, only the extrapolation verbiage back in December about what it would be if they had run "those couple days" for a whole week. But what was the output? Was it 2-shifts doing 200/shift, 400/day, 5 day week? Or was it 1 shift doing 100 extrapolating to a 200/2-shift day and over 1000/wk for 5 days if they maintained the 100-per-shift rate?

The tracking sheet doesn't show any above 4000 yet, so those who can should update the sheet with recent vin #s. Model 3 Invites
 
one of the polls i've seen was something like >50% of owners opted to wait and not get first production (its not really LR vs SR but first production vs something else which comes later).

In my mind that makes a lot of sense and might be a really smart way of Tesla to manage the long queue of people wanting to buy: I believe we will have a situation by the end of this year where pretty much everyone in the US who has ordered more than 6 months ago will get an invitation to configure / deliver: The configuration of LR+PUP+RWD is very smart with regards to margins / production complexity while it keeps those who want "the best of the best" waiting (AWD, P-Variant) as well as the "base model is good for me" (SR, no PUP). By keeping the interior to one, it also keeps everyone who insists on white interior waiting.

This way, they should manage the scalping issue pretty well, offering a model for those who can't wait while pushing a large number of deliveries into the future. And, who knows - maybe they up-sell a few who wanted SR and/or sell a second car to those waiting for the performance version down the road... At the same time, it kills all kinds of "see Tesla can't deliver any cars" arguments as many people will have a chance to order if they are happy with LR+PUP and limited options. It also is a way to survive the first "don't buy the first car out of the factory" vs the "it's new, it's shiny, I need to have it now!!" issue.

Having said all this: Hey Tesla, where is my car?? I want it now!! ;-)
 
In my mind that makes a lot of sense and might be a really smart way of Tesla to manage the long queue of people wanting to buy: I believe we will have a situation by the end of this year where pretty much everyone in the US who has ordered more than 6 months ago will get an invitation to configure / deliver: The configuration of LR+PUP+RWD is very smart with regards to margins / production complexity while it keeps those who want "the best of the best" waiting (AWD, P-Variant) as well as the "base model is good for me" (SR, no PUP). By keeping the interior to one, it also keeps everyone who insists on white interior waiting.

This way, they should manage the scalping issue pretty well, offering a model for those who can't wait while pushing a large number of deliveries into the future. And, who knows - maybe they up-sell a few who wanted SR and/or sell a second car to those waiting for the performance version down the road... At the same time, it kills all kinds of "see Tesla can't deliver any cars" arguments as many people will have a chance to order if they are happy with LR+PUP and limited options. It also is a way to survive the first "don't buy the first car out of the factory" vs the "it's new, it's shiny, I need to have it now!!" issue.

Having said all this: Hey Tesla, where is my car?? I want it now!! ;-)
They did up sell :). I initially had my mind set for LR without PUP instead of first production.