Everything is haltedI understand the TSLA circuit breaker, but why is TM also frozen?
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Everything is haltedI understand the TSLA circuit breaker, but why is TM also frozen?
If you are so deep in your own belief, why asked the question to begin with?Sorry, but tax consequences aside, the loss is just as real as any other loss, whether you sell or not.
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Interesting read. I have to admit that I am not trading on "first principle base" either. That would require a much deeper understanding of economy, market, etc. than what I have. Soros has written an excellent book about his reflexology method in his book "Alchemy of science" that I attempt to follow in my trading. He stopped teaching trading after that. All his published works, tweets, etc. are about policy, democracy, etc. issues. One can learn from these a lot, but not about trading.If you want to become even more confused, but perhaps a little more enlightened as well, then I recommend you read this:
The Fallacy of Market Prediction | Macro Ops
This does a good job of explaining why those who think they know everything and can trade around a chaotic market are mostly fooling themselves. Why the human brain is not suited to this and did not evolve to deal with it. And why it wouldn't work, even if the brain was well suited to it. He does make an exception for very short-term trading using large amounts of data to inform the trades. But I don't think that is what you are talking about here.
Read and learn from wiser, more experienced people.
The only possible difference between losses and "paper losses" are tax differences. "Paper loss" does not exist only for tax purposes "unrealized loss".I'd say what cost you a lot of money was selling TSLA, not the permabull mindset. If you hadn't sold, you would've lost nothing.
As someone may have mentioned before, paper losses are not losses (if you don't sell).
All you need is toilet paperThe CNBC Roku app won't even connect now. Do I have enough canned goods?
I was very confused why my SPY puts were so red. For a second I wondered if I had screwed up big time. Apparently RH shows them as worth 1 cent when the circuit breaker trips.
If you are so deep in your own belief, why asked the question to begin with?
I think you are correct. I think you should sell all you have now and wait for the SP to drop further and buy back.It’s a question of fact, not belief.
Two people have $9000.
Jane bought 10 shares of Tesla at $900.
Fred put $3k under his mattress and $6k in cash at Fidelity.
Someone breaks in Fred’s house and steals the $3k.
Fred says “My money’s not safe anyway, I’ll take my $6k in cash and this morning buy 10 shares of Tesla in pre-market at $600 each”.
Everybody would agree Fred had a $3k “real loss”, but he and Jane started off with an identical $9k net worth and both now own an identical 10 shares of TSLA.
So I don’t know why Jane’s “oh it’s only a paper loss” argument should make it superior or make her feel better than Fred with his real loss to theft.
They started in identical situations. They ended in identical situations. Tax consequences aside, there is no difference between a paper loss and a real loss.
Sorry, but tax consequences aside, the loss is just as real as any other loss, whether you sell or not.
Makes me wonder what happens to options if a Level 3 circuit breaker trips on a Friday. Do they all expire un-exerciseable?
Contrived scenarios are just contrived scenarios. All you're saying is that hindsight is better than foresight.It’s a question of fact, not belief.
Two people have $9000.
Jane bought 10 shares of Tesla at $900.
Fred put $3k under his mattress and $6k in cash at Fidelity.
Someone breaks in Fred’s house and steals the $3k.
Fred says “My money’s not safe anyway, I’ll take my $6k in cash and this morning buy 10 shares of Tesla in pre-market at $600 each”.
Everybody would agree Fred had a $3k “real loss”, but he and Jane started off with an identical $9k net worth and both now own an identical 10 shares of TSLA.
So I don’t know why Jane’s “oh it’s only a paper loss” argument should make it superior or make her feel better than Fred with his real loss to theft.
They started in identical situations. They ended in identical situations. Tax consequences aside, there is no difference between a paper loss and a real loss.
Wait for it —