Welcome to Tesla Motors Club
Discuss Tesla's Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Cybertruck, Roadster and More.
Register

Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

This site may earn commission on affiliate links.
Well according to Karen's analysis, $NKLA are effectively paying $GM $2.7b - above my pay-grade to understand it all:

https://twitter.com/enn_nafnlaus/status/1303309538444152832

She is bang on with that analysis. NKLA's stock price reaction to this news is completely unhinged.

They just handed nearly all of their margins directly to GM. The only margin left for them to realize is on the whatever spread they think they can achieve in consumer prices versus GMs costs. NKLA will produce essentially nothing, and thus have no means of materializing markup on anything it actually produces. Better hope that GM is able to keep costs down low enough that the vehicles can actually be sold at a price point that consumers are willing to actually buy the vehcile.

Granted, it's only for one of their "products"... oh wait... no it's not... GM just got exclusivity to supply NKLA on a cost plus basis (i.e., GM will never lose money; even if NKLA does) on ALL of its battery and fuel cells for their semi truck production as well. Again, better hope that GM is capable of delivery those at a reasonable cost since last I checked the battery is the most expensive part of the vehicle.

I'm not sure how this is in any way a good deal for NKLA.
 
If the S&P index committee was trying to punish Tesla/TSLA by not including them in the index at this point because they did not understand or agree with their success, would this be legal? Effectively unlawful market manipulation? Not sure the SEC would be interested to look around.

Would make sense to at least see if any members of the S&P index committee, their families, friends, and any of their contacts made trades connected to advanced/insider knowledge of the committee not following their own guidelines.

Legal -- Stock Market -- SEC --- S & P

Those words definitely do not belong in the same sentence.

As has been mentioned a couple of times before. Companies like Amazon and Facebook had to wait a quarter+ from qualification to inclusion. The likelihood of a conspiracy is far lower than just careful consideration by the committee. Tesla is a great company. Itll be included when the time comes. I haven't sold anything in months and I don't plan to. I am in Tesla for the long term. It's hard not to sweat when things like the last week and today happen. But I trust that in the long term Tesla will win out.
 
https://twitter.com/vincent13031925/status/1303407750836174848?s=20

Tesla China Achieves Production of 12,714 Units with 11,811 Units Sold in August 2020

That sounds pretty good to me. What am I missing? I heard some rumblings that were dancing around the D word up thread.

I'm not sure how this is in any way a good deal for NKLA.
If you believe that Trevor and the major shareholders are just pumping the stock to cash out big time, then it makes total sense.
 
https://twitter.com/vincent13031925/status/1303407750836174848?s=20
Tesla China Achieves Production of 12,714 Units with 11,811 Units Sold in August 2020
That sounds pretty good to me. What am I missing? I heard some rumblings that were dancing around the D word up thread.
If you believe that Trevor and the major shareholders are just pumping the stock to cash out big time, then it makes total sense.

I think some of us were thinking that Tesla China was already at a 200k run rate. Monthly that would be 16,700 vehicles. Looks like the run rate is closer to 150k annually. So still some ramping up yet to go.
 
There's nothing wrong with "gambling" on S&P inclusion IMO. It's a perfectly understandable event where shares must be purchased. Believing the SP is going to go up due to lack of available shares is sound fundamental market thinking.

The casino feel is at least half caused by small retail investors who want to invest in Tesla regardless of price. We can call that foolish, but it's not really gambling. Nikola on the other hand......
Well, we haven’t had a short week, big bear raid in a while.

And, wasn’t there just a hit piece in Consumer Reports? That’s one of the shorts’ bigger FUD guns and a piece from them is usually a tell.

A confluence of factors I expect. Rather nervy of the shorts, if they are playing a big role.

I’ll still be holding of course when this dust up settles down.
 
I'm surprised there's no discussion about Panasonic's expansion in GF1. This might indicate that whatever Battery Day brings, is not going to be anything immediately material. If they already had it all figured out with the new Tesla battery line production, there'd be no reason for another 3 years of more Panasonic cells. Or maybe this simply means they can gobble up all the cells they can find and still sell for a profit.
 
  • Helpful
Reactions: saniflash
Is it possible that tweet was in reference to not needing carbon credit sales to show profits? He should have all the Q3 numbers by now
True. Tesla can use carbon credits, but does not need them.

But more importantly, Tesla does not need support from its enemies... main stream investors' S&P support is only a lever to pull out from under the company at the psychological moment. Better off without that dynamic.
 
I'm surprised there's no discussion about Panasonic's expansion in GF1. This might indicate that whatever Battery Day brings, is not going to be anything immediately material. If they already had it all figured out with the new Tesla battery line production, there'd be no reason for another 3 years of more Panasonic cells. Or maybe this simply means they can gobble up all the cells they can find and still sell for a profit.
If you mean material is in moving the needle for profits yeah probably not, but if you mean it as something real then I disagree. I'm certain we will be seeing a functional battery line. It would take some time to scale that to anything more than just handling perhaps the Plaid S/Roadster and maybe Semi.
 

Good interpretations and references have already been offered by several posters.

As native French speaker I would add another relatively common usage. The expression is also used when you want to achieve an important goal, then exceptional or unusual means are sometimes acceptable (a tie up with VW comes to mind).

But it could also mean a lot of other things, because it is used without knowing the context.
 
I think some of us were thinking that Tesla China was already at a 200k run rate. Monthly that would be 16,700 vehicles. Looks like the run rate is closer to 150k annually. So still some ramping up yet to go.
Rob have cautioned us whenever Tesla talks about run rate or capacity or whatever. It is probably using some arbitrary burst rate annualized with some "hope" built in. We have gone through this during the Model 3 ramp.
 
screen-shot-2020-09-08-at-12-57-20-pm-png.585885


The war against whom or what?

Shorts?
Climate?
Indexes?
Human extinction?
OEMs?

Literally "at war as at war".

My translation — it’s a knife fight .
 
About the Elon tweet:
I see interpretation ranging between two extremes:
  1. You make do with what you have.
  2. Unusual times call for unusual measures.
Among these two ends, I would lean more towards later, with one reason:
Elon never give up.​

But this is assuming he was talking about Tesla in the tweet.
He might well be talking about GM, in that case, it’s the first case then some.
 
I saw someone elsewhere suggest GM is locked into the dealer model via franchise agreements regarding direct sales of EVs, but by essentially doing 99% of the work to sell EV stuff under another companies name they can capture more of the $.

I don't care enough to check, but it's at least a better idea than "GM was drunk when they signed this deal"
Better if not more accurate.