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Fully concur.

Someone needed to reign Elon in with his juvenile "yoke" and lack of shift lever/turn signal stalks ideas. A car in 2023 is NOT a video game, yet Elon persists in creating an environment where his authority is questioned only if you wish to be fired . . . so we end up with a potentially great car that was handicapped by boy-racer silliness. (We should know: we've purchased five Palladium MS's. The novelty quickly becomes a pain, and intermittently an actual danger, in the real world of parallel parking and roundabouts and errant drivers that need a short horn "toot.")

Now we see "Standard Range" versions with an identical COGS? Really Elon? How about just adding a proper horn button (where it belongs, in the center of the steering wheel!), turn signals, and a shift lever? Driving these cars often feels like it's a "New Coke" moment, but Tesla can't go back to a better idea because it's a firing offense to counter Elon perhaps?

Instead, they just reduce the price (again), this time by $10k and handicap the car with software while installing the same, massive, and expensive battery pack . . . .

We remain heavily invested in TSLA but are growing concerned with the increasing number of self-induced problems and easily foreseen missteps, seemingly all directed by Elon, all of which are very concerning. The upcoming biography may help shed some light on both the utter brilliance, and remarkable hubris and folly, of Tesla's leader.
Even if you think the yoke and lack of stalks was a bad decision, that's hardly reason for concern. Innovative companies must innovate. And sometimes they get it wrong. It would be a lot worse if Tesla never took risks.
 
As for the new handicapped Model S/X, this was probably inevitable. Demand for high end EVs is low because of high interest rates and the lack of IRA incentive. Lucid's days could be numbered because of this. Tesla has made the calculation that it's financially advantageous to sell more of these cars and keep the factory running at capacity rather than slow down production.

When you think about this, it's kind of cool that Tesla has the flexibility to create a cheaper version without spending a dime on engineering and retooling.
 
Did you do 215? That was my plan, 100@215, but not as an order.

I await what happens downwards, and buy 100 if it approaches upwards towards 235 (assuming that should give me time to react) - wise?

Without giving investment advice, which seems imperative for folks to say…
I can’t advise, I know nothing, I only feel the market.

I was on the phone with a good buddy in Ohio just now. Seems Tesla put a bid on US Steel Co yesterday? What, to cut off supplies to ICE? I’m game. I need to read more on this.

(Edit, seems this was already discussed on the weekend. Ill leave it here as it seems the jury is not out yet. Interesting that my buddy said the offer went in yesterday, likely old news, but he called me to see if he should buy up more property locally. He's a builder)
 
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Conflating the uniqueness of the Cybertruck with the absurdity of a "boy racer" steering yoke is silly.

You missed my point. The same conditions (ie. Elon) that produced the probable hit of the Cybertruck produced the mistake that was the yoke. As I said, no company is perfect, mistakes will be made. Tesla's mistakes are smaller than other car companies, IMHO.

At the end of the day, from an investor's point of view, the Palladium refresh of the S and X has been a disaster with stunningly long period (over a year IIRC?) with ZERO cars to sell, to ever-increasing discounts to move the metal, and a promised fix of its most egregious safety defect (no usable horn) over a year ago--yet NOTHING happened to fix it:

Yes it was a mistake, but it wasn't a TSLA disaster since S/X don't move the needle much in Tesla financials anymore, and hasn't for many years now. You do know that every other car company makes similar mistakes, right?


And:


Did Elon lie, or was he just misinformed?

Elon is brilliant, but the biography will likely reveal he also has many self-induced defects that others at Tesla/SpaceX see, but cannot/will not speak out loud for real fear of being fired (because it happens often). As a Human Factors engineer (by education), with thousands of miles behind Palladium stalkless yokes, it is, frankly, an incomprehensibly stupid safety hazard. We don't see ourselves buying another, this after over a dozen MS's since 2013.

Prospective buyers have grown to learn this and sales are likely suffering as a result. I fear the Highland update may encounter the same future if someone doesn't sit Elon down for a talk . . . it's LONG overdue and failure to do so will further damage our TSLA investment, AND the mission.

It can be possible to be too smart for one's own good.

Don't get lost in the trees and forget to see the forest. On the whole, Tesla is doing just fine, mistakes and all. I'd rather have Elon's mistakes AND brilliant other execution than the alternative, but YMMV.
 
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I am not even upset about these people. The nice thing with the market is that these people can believe what they do, but time will tell who is right and if you have skin in the game you will be rewarded/punished based on the outcome. Let them believe that EV will not totally dominate if they want, it's easy to do when EVs are 0-20% of the market. Harder when they are 80-100% of the market in the next decade which I am convinced they will be. And if I am wrong, then I deserve what is coming my way...
You mean like EV1

/S
 
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Hoping TSLA bounces off the bottom trend line started beginning of the year, would get TSLA >$271 by end of 2023 and ATH by November 2024. TSLA currently stuck in negative macro events, especially of late, concerns with downturn in China and higher interest rates.
With most all OEM significantly reducing their BEV targets, general Market consensus (which is incorrect) believe Tesla will also have negatively affected P&D. On the contrary, Tesla will be able to sell every BEV they can produce for years to come. There are entire new world markets that have yet to be touched.

Screen Shot 2023-08-18 at 12.08.48 PM.png


As with the rising TSLA trend line that dominated 2013 - 2014, I expect the above two linear trend lines to be in TSLA's rear view mirror a few years from now.
 
Did you do 215? That was my plan, 100@215, but not as an order.

I await what happens downwards, and buy 100 if it approaches upwards towards 235 (assuming that should give me time to react) - wise?

Without giving investment advice, which seems imperative for folks to say…

Replying again… I am not buying at 215. I recall last time when I bought my favorite number on the way down to 100. Flashbacks…
 
Moderator NOTE FOR ALL: READ

There will be no more use of this platform to assess, praise or whine about Twitter/X, or anecdotes about what happened to oneself through use of or proximity to it, without first abjectly acknowledging that I have been correct over the past decade and more of its coruscatingly destructive and unsalvageable faults.


The prior posts have gone away.
 
Pretty sure people understood I was referring to the cash and investments of large fund managers and not individual folks who live paycheck to paycheck.
 
Sigh. It has always been like this at Tesla since, oh, 2008 or so. Would you rather have a car company that has an otherwise great series of features, but lousy tech since the tech package is on a 5 year refresh cycle, and won’t be ready until next year? A lot of current cars being sold fall into that camp, just for one example.

Look, Tesla isn’t perfect!!! It has never been, and never will be. It is just less imperfect than all other car companies. If that isn’t good enough for you, look elsewhere.

And FWIW, I immediately put in an order for a new Model X on the day of the announcement solely because of that steering wheel. Sure there are plenty of stick in the muds like you that didn’t like it, in fact you are probably a majority (since Tesla has now reversed their standard/optional steering wheel, they, oh my gosh, learned!), but Tesla does amazing things because of that mentality.

The Cybertruck is a good example of the positives of that mentality. Only a company that would gamble on a yoke would also gamble on the Cybertruck, which all indications are, will be a hit.
I said it before and I'll say it again, love the yoke, but the buttons weren't thought through, after 8 months of Plaid ownership I still have no idea where the horn is and indicating with the yoke turned is nigh-on impossible

So for me, keep the yoke, but bring back the stalks, or another solution - hell, some buttons on the touch-screen would do the job for me better than the ones on the yoke

And as for the range-limited S&X, colour me confused, seems like a dumb idea to me if indeed they're identical cars underneath, unless they do plan to offer an unlock in the future, then it would be OK, because I suspect a lot of folks would go for that
 
This is a monthly options expirations day. More interest than a weekly but less than a quarterly.
Based on my survey of the current TSLA options trading volume and the earlier open interest, large option writers with the ability to temporarily manipulate the share price may target $215 as their most profitable closing share price. Of course, trading by others could confound them.
 

Original article:


Screenshot 2023-08-18 at 10.09.47 AM.png
 
Hoping TSLA bounces off the bottom trend line started beginning of the year, would get TSLA >$271 by end of 2023 and ATH by November 2024. TSLA currently stuck in negative macro events, especially of late, concerns with downturn in China and higher interest rates.
With most all OEM significantly reducing their BEV targets, general Market consensus (which is incorrect) believe Tesla will also have negatively affected P&D. On the contrary, Tesla will be able to sell every BEV they can produce for years to come. There are entire new world markets that have yet to be touched.

View attachment 966145

As with the rising TSLA trend line that dominated 2013 - 2014, I expect the above two linear trend lines to be in TSLA's rear view mirror a few years from now.
Just a heads up, with the lines that I have from the actual lows the stock hit in July and then March, TSLA could fall to 200/share and still be in this channel. The uptrend line is increasing around .50 per trading day. The fact that the uptrend line from the low is nearly the same as the 200 day moving average isn't a coincidence if ya ask me.

The Zach resigning announcement timing wise is really unfortunate. When TSLA hit 299/share a month or so ago, I was saying there's gotta be a pullback soon, simply for healthy consolidation. No doubt most of Wall St hedge funds were thinking the same thing I was in that both TSLA and the overall market was due for a decent correction. I think the original target was the 50-day average with the 100 day being a stretch goal for hedgies.

But the Zach resignment announcement really changed the dynamics and to me, the goals for hedge funds. They know institutional investors, especially cautious ones, are going to be hesitant to buy in around something like a CFO resignment announcement and most likely will stay out of a stock for up to 1-2 quarters. This to me opened the door for not just the 100 day to be broken and for the target to be the 200 day/ uptrend line but the stretch goal for hedge funds to break the last support lines and cause another Dec style plummet in the stock.

Unfortunately, I think they're going to succeed in doing that before any positive catalyst can come. The S&P still has another 4-5% to drop for it to hit it's uptrend support lines. The Nasdaq could be the savior here because it's very close to it's low uptrend line from Dec. But that could also be a major negative because if it drops below that (and it's close), then it's going to plummet and bring TSLA down with it.

So overall....not looking very pretty at moment.
 
They are clearly trying to push it lower. Some talk of Puts here, which is the bear trap set up I see coming - just don't know when… but soon.

Highlander selling for close to $25K could turn the tides… any day now. Make (or import) them in the US for the incentives, this would be a death blow.

With this potential in both directions, HODL would be the best strategy. Buy more if you can afford … to not require selling to pay bills.

This does not include the upside potential for CyberTruck or FSD news also brewing.

Don’t you all see it? (Rhetorical, I know!). I think we’ll be above 300 before year end. (Relatively speaking against the overall market, it’s a relative.)
 
This is a monthly options expirations day. More interest than a weekly but less than a quarterly.
Based on my survey of the current TSLA options trading volume and the earlier open interest, large option writers with the ability to temporarily manipulate the share price may target $215 as their most profitable closing share price. Of course, trading by others could confound them.
Never would have guessed that given the SP action/s
 
They are clearly trying to push it lower. Some talk of Puts here, which is the bear trap set up I see coming - just don't know when… but soon.

Highlander selling for close to $25K could turn the tides… any day now. Make (or import) them in the US for the incentives, this would be a death blow.

With this potential in both directions, HODL would be the best strategy. Buy more if you can afford … to not require selling to pay bills.

This does not include the upside potential for CyberTruck or FSD news also brewing.

Don’t you all see it? (Rhetorical, I know!). I think we’ll be above 300 before year end. (Relatively speaking against the overall market, it’s a relative.)
Yeah serious capping on the stock today to prevent a bounce and get back above the 100 day. Stock is just being strangled constantly day in and day out.

The rumored Highland selling price just doesn't seem realistic at all. Would be a potential huge catalyst but I'm sure there would be questions about what kind of gross margin Tesla would be making on a 25k Highland 3. A 25k Highland 3 would absolutely destroy the market for Chinese EV makers. Would seriously be a huge hit to BYD.

But I just don't see how it's possible. Especially considering that's the ASP Tesla is shooting for with Gen 3.