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TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

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Because they can sell their factory and some equipments to Tesla after a few years, if they don't burn too much before that they might be undervalued now.
People keep saying this, but it makes no sense. The future of Tesla's factories is Grohmann, not anything now in Ford's factories, apart from the odd stamping press. Tesla will stay well away from the ICE Makers.
 
IMHO, it would have been smarter (more tactical) if Musk's lawyers first filed a motion to dismiss before accepting the settlement. That would have forced a very different negotiation point on the SEC. A few extra days would not have made much difference in SP considering that it has dropped down anyway.

It takes (much) more than a couple of days to file an effective reply brief, which I believe would have argued not just based on the Securities Act and its legislative history (which the SEC is abusing), but would also have mounted a First Amendment challenge (the SEC is a federal agency trying to restrain Elon's speech).

These take weeks/months to prepare.

Plus to really rattle the SEC Elon would probably also have counter-sued: reckless action by the SEC caused billions of dollars of damages, and the SEC is also trying to harm Tesla unlawfully by meddling with its corporate governance. This would also have opened up the SEC to wider discovery, for Elon/Tesla to find eventual inappropriate links between SEC staff and short sellers...

If proven or strongly suspected Elon could also have added RICO (Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act) causes of action too, with triple damages.

But that would probably have been best done in the Reply Brief - which needs to be done carefully too.

Many months of delays. Years of litigation.

The SEC dishonestly and inappropriately forced Elon and Tesla to act quickly by asking for Elon to be removed as CEO for life: effectively hanging a corporate death sentence above Tesla as we know it. The TSLA stock price reacted exactly like the SEC knew it would react and forced Elon and Tesla to settle.

I.e. the only quick option left for Tesla and Elon was to settle under extreme duress.

This is one of the darkest chapters in the history of the SEC: unprecedented recklessness and lawlessness and complete, utter regulatory capture to harm a single company as much as possible.

(Not a lawyer.)
 
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IMHO, it would have been smarter (more tactical) if Musk's lawyers first filed a motion to dismiss before accepting the settlement. That would have forced a very different negotiation point on the SEC. A few extra days would not have made much difference in SP considering that it has dropped down anyway.
I tend to agree but I am not sitting in Tesla's or EM's shoes. In an area I am much more familiar with, Civil Rights actions against government facilities are filed along with the government order imposing compliance standards, in effect the settlement. I suspect that rejection of the first offer here was totally unexpected by the SEC. There may be very good reasons that the second settlement was better for EM Tesla and us as longs.
 
It takes (much) more than a couple of days to file an effective reply brief, which I believe would have argued not just based on the Securities Act and its legislative history, but would also have mounted a First Amendment challenge (the SEC is a federal agency trying to restrain Elon's speech).

These take weeks/months to prepare.

Plus to really rattle the SEC Elon would probably also have counter-sued: reckless action by the SEC caused billions of dollars of damage and the SEC is trying to harm Tesla unlawfully. This would also have opened up the SEC to discovery, for Elon/Tesla to find eventual inappropriate links between SEC staff and short sellers...

But that would probably have been best done in the Reply Brief - which needs to be done carefully too.

Many months of delays.

The SEC dishonestly and inappropriately forced Elon and Tesla to act quickly by asking for Elon to be removed as CEO for life: effectively hanging a corporate death sentence above Tesla as we know it. The TSLA stock price reacted exactly like the SEC knew it would react and forced Elon and Tesla to settle.

I.e. the only quick option left for Tesla and Elon was to settle under extreme duress.

This is one of the darkest chapters in the history of the SEC: unprecedented recklessness and complete, utter regulatory capture to harm a single company as much as possible.

Totally agree. Just filing a Motion to Dismiss and Memorandum would likely not work on the substantive issues. Motion for Summary Judgment an Memorandum probably would require discovery and take many months.
 
I
  • I believe the Panasonic part of the Gigafactory is paid for by Panasonic and the machines are outright owned by Panasonic and the employees there are working for Panasonic - they are 'shipping' the cells over to the Tesla pack-assembly side and account it as sales/purchases. So the capex spending to expand cell output would be entirely Panasonic's - which I suspect they expect to recover from a margin they add to cell costs - 20% margin earned would be normal I think.
  • I believe Tesla has the right (and maybe even contractual obligation) to procure raw materials such as lithium, aluminum or cobalt, which then Panasonic refines to very high grades and uses to make cells - this means that Tesla can improve the price of the 2170 cells via raw materials economies of scale.
But I found very little information about this, so most of this is just guesses. It's understandable that Tesla and Panasonic are tight-lipped about these details.

Panasonic has partnered with us on Gigafactory 1 with investments in the production equipment that it uses to manufacture and supply us with battery cells. Under our arrangement with Panasonic, we plan to purchase the full output from their production equipment at negotiated prices. As these terms convey to us the right to use, as defined in ASC 840, Leases, their production equipment, we consider them to be leased assets when production commences. This results in us recording the cost of their production equipment within property, plant and equipment, net, on the consolidated balance sheets with a corresponding liability recorded to financing obligations. For all suppliers and partners for which we plan to purchase the full output from their production equipment located at Gigafactory 1, we have applied similar accounting. As of June 30, 2018 and December 31, 2017, we had cumulatively capitalized costs of $955.4 million and $473.3 million, respectively, on the consolidated balance sheets in relation to the production equipment under our Panasonic arrangement. We had cumulatively capitalized total costs for the Gigafactory 1 of $4.14 billion and $3.15 billion as of June 30, 2018 and December 31, 2017, respectively.

EX-10.1

EX-10.2
 
As these terms convey to us the right to use, as defined in ASC 840, Leases, their production equipment, we consider them to be leased assets when production commences. This results in us recording the cost of their production equipment within property, plant and equipment, net, on the consolidated balance sheets with a corresponding liability recorded to financing obligations.

Interesting, does this mean that these are financing leases, where Tesla is going to own all the Panasonic lines once the leases are fully paid? What would the lease term be - a couple of years?

I believe this increases the odds that the Shanghai Gigafactory is going to use Panasonic lines as well.
 
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Don't know whether anyone had mentioned this before:

Remember the report that says Tesla is bidding a land plot for China GF3?
I found this land auction looks very much like it:

上海土地市场-网上公告
上海市规划和国土资源管理局

Some interesting detail of this auction:
1. Auction ends Oct.26, in time for Q3 call.
2. Only ONE bidder
3. 86 hectares land
4. 172 hectares space in building (18M sqr ft, in comparison, GF1 is 4.9M now, Shanghai VM has 9M)
5. Purpose of the land is "New energy source vehicle manufacturing", pretty much means EV.
6. Construction start within 6 months
7. Production start within 36 months

Do you guys think this could be the GF3?
The size of the building is scary big to me, if it's not Tesla, then Tesla is in trouble...
If it's Tesla, will it be officially announced in Q3?
Screen Shot 2018-10-12 at 9.26.21 PM.png
 
212 Acres give or take, need parking, external utilities, finished goods parking.

GF1 started at 1,000 acres and exercised the option to buy an additional 1,864 acres so the GF1 site is over 13x the size.

Fremont is 370 acres.

Unable to read what was said in that document......found this as the only reference to potential site cost.

Shanghai for Its First Factory Outside of the US
Announced Date Oct-12-2018 (Time not available)
Company Name Tesla, Inc. (NasdaqGS:TSLA)
Source The Business Times Singapore
Event Type Business Expansion
Advisors
Situation
TESLA INC is in the process of procuring land in Shanghai for its first factory outside of the US, according to people with direct knowledge of the matter, pushing ahead with plans to set up production in China after months of tumult involving CEO Elon Musk. The carmaker is the sole bidder for a plot of land with an auction price of about CNY 1 billion. A decision by the Shanghai government to allocate the land to Tesla could be made as soon as this month. Setting up manufacturing in China will enable the Palo Alto, California-based company to avoid paying import duties as high as 40% and offer cheaper cars in the world's biggest market for electric vehicles.


Adding Note: 1,000,000,000 Chinese Yuan equals 144,462,700.00 United States Dollar
 
Maybe the SEC is puzzled why Tesla investors are livid at them for siding with Tesla anti-investors?

I think it is the SEC that needs re-education, they need to be reminded that their mission is to help investors ...

Hint: the SEC dropping the share price of one of the most innovative American companies from ~$310 to ~$250 by suing its CEO because he tried to protect shareholders took billions dollars of value from Tesla shareholders and enriched anti-shareholders with about half a billion dollars.

And the SEC had the audacity to force Tesla and its CEO into a one-sided settlement to enhance the returns of anti-shareholders by another 40 million dollars, and they are also trying to damage Tesla by unprofessionally meddling with its board of directors? Was a windfall of half a billion dollars not enough?

Is the SEC not just a Shortseller Enrichment Commission, but also a Shareholder-value Elimination Commision?
Crying_Face_Emoji.png
 
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