Where do you guys think will TSLA be trading in the next 4 weeks before and after the release of the Q3 results?
Will we be able to achieve a new all-time high? Or is there still too much FUD going on? Is there even the possibility of a negative perception of the Q3 results leading to share price losses?
to further answer your question, based on a, to me, hysterically funny article from (ick) Seeking Alpha, (the author has an extremely dry wit and certain "outlier" indicators like Elon options
1) "......there appears to be some indication that Tesla institutional investors may be affected by Elon Musk’s personal charisma, good or bad. To estimate the potential link, I further correlated institutional holdings with a tweeter score which measures the
Tesla sentiment on Tweeter (Thomson Reuters). The correlation suggests that
for every 1% increase in tweeter sentiment, institutions will increase 150,000 shares of holding. As the Tesla sentiment score has
fluctuated between -15% and +15%, and
current score is close to -15%, a recent low (after the go-private deal fell through). It stands to reason that the Elon Musk sentiment score should rise and help institutions participate in the future capital raise."
ie,
institutions will soon (or are) buy LOTS of shares (-15% to 0% = institutions buying appx 2.25 million shares, boosting the stock price just a tad bit)
2) "..whenever
Tesla made an additional 100 cars, institutions increased their holdings 184,000 shares. Or, for every 1% Tesla’s stock is overvalued, institutional holding was reduced by 730,000 shares. To no one’s surprise, the number of cars that Tesla has produced is the most dominating factor over topline revenue,.."
"...weekly Tesla institutional holdings in terms of percentage and shares
for the period of 2012-2018 (Bloomberg).."
SO, to simplify, Elon Tweet index has nowhere to go but up, and that causes _institutions_ to buy, and as Tesla produces more vehicles institutions also buy, a double whammy for shortz
and stock prices will go up (Look at the A/D line again)
(it will soon like the GCU "Sleeper Service" is boosting for the Excession)