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Thank you every body for contributing to the spreadsheet, especially the VIN numbers and their assignment dates. Keep them coming. We have extracted some pretty cool information from the data set so far. This is what we were working on yesterday:
Blue line is InsideEVs delivery estimate from their webpage.
Red line is Troy's projection from the VIN assignment calculation.
Green line is the population growth logistic function that I applied to the data set so far.
From these production projections, we think that all owners who want LR, RWD, PUP, Black interior should have their car by March. That is regardless when or where the reservations were placed.
Invites for non-owner, AWD, or white interior should start in February depending on which group Tesla prioritizes next.
P.S. We really want all VIN numbers and their assigned dates, not just the highest number. If you have a VIN and want to share, post them on the spreadsheet.
Makes our calculations more accurate.
Also, we prefer that the VIN to be self reported, no pulled off of someone else's post. Reliability of the data is important.