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After 2+ years, the Model 3 and Y now have identical headlights and taillights. Don't expect them to diverge, after all this time and efforts.
5yrs seems to be the standard refresh cycle.
S - 3 generations
X - 2 gens

Would make sense if we see some significant changes that first appear on the 3, then trickle down to the Y as the supply of head and tail lamps are exhausted.
 
The 3 already got a refresh for 2021/22. New interior, heat pump, MCU, etc.
That’s far from a refresh, and it rolled out across 3+ yrs.

Lemme rephrase:
S has had 3 different front ends, multiple revisions to the exterior and interior that the average buyer would notice.
X has had 2 different front ends and the same revisions as the S.

The 3 got a heat pump largely due to cost cutting and sharing many parts with the Y. Micro improvements if you will.
 
That’s far from a refresh, and it rolled out across 3+ yrs.

Lemme rephrase:
S has had 3 different front ends, multiple revisions to the exterior and interior that the average buyer would notice.
X has had 2 different front ends and the same revisions as the S.

The 3 got a heat pump largely due to cost cutting and sharing many parts with the Y. Micro improvements if you will.
Well said. The 3 has yet to receive a true refresh. Interior updates were very minor.

6 years is a long time to go without a refresh. I wouldn’t consider replacing mine until that happens.

The recent price drop on the 3 yesterday reminds me of when Tesla kept dropping prices on the S before announcing the refresh to clear out inventory.

prediction: Tesla will open up orders for the long range 3 with the new/refreshed model when they announce it in March.
 
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