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It is quite necessary to ignore basic facts to conclude that operating in these countries will reduce margins and be less productive than elsewhere. Loose criticism is not helpful. Please do your homework, then come back with facts, if you think you can find some to support your case. Failing to do that makes me conclude you're just spreading pointless FUD.
Meanwhile, with the Tesla reaching 100k miles, there’s none of the above to worry about for the exception of battery fluid and brake pads.
Yep... and once things start running, they can't shut down to clean up the mess. And so remains a mess forever after.
Hopefully the quality of discussions doesn't suffer.
It also leads to writing spaghetti code at 2 am Sunday morning
I vaguely had a high impression of you before, and I can't see how you don't understand that embracing low margin high-risk operations is a bad idea when at best they are small relative to your main operation.
there is a reasonable amount of preemptive buying of growth... my opinion is that TSLA is nowhere near reason... here's a guy that sums it up well...
Tesla's Stock Trades at a 'Stupid Multiple' Says This Shark Tank Star
That's probably an important one. Over 5 years though?
Apple tripled its number of employees from 37,000 in 2009 to 97,000 in 2014 while its revenue increased from $47B to $200B.
I guess one big difference: Apple wasn't competing against several Big Tech companies like Apple/Facebook/Amazon/NVIDIA when wooing talent.
I think you may be spot on. So what's the solution? Let's dig one level deeper: in which area do you think Tesla will be limited in its hiring?
It's probably not law, human resources, or finance/accounting, in which departments skills are generally transferable across industries. It's probably not sales or marketing, since demand will likely be more than supply for some time. It's probably not service, since as demand for cars shifts from ICE to BEV, service staff will be able to switch after some training, and BEV needs less service anyway.
Construction, possibly, since homebuilding/construction industry is already suffering from lack of labor and subsequent gigafactories and solar roofs will need a lot of labor hours. Another reason why Tesla absolutely needs to invent "lego installation" for solar roofs.
R&D hiring is likely the area where Tesla will be limited. Which specific area of R&D? Battery tech? Machine learning? Automation? Computer Vision? Coding? Any specific language in coding?
What's the solution? We have 5 years. That's longer than college, and there's an increased interest in trade schools, which can take less than four years. Can Tesla create its own university? This isn't any different than creating its supply chain for parts or materials.
Elon knows people at Kahn Academy. Neither of the organizations are new to using the Internet to scale quickly and efficiently.
Vertical integration applied to labor: Tesla University. This is Tesla's next move.
Third cup of coffee by 6 am.
Well - that's the mission, right? To accelerate the world's transition to sustainable energy. I recognize Tesla is and will grow quicker than any other company ever did, and that this is not easy, so I'm just trying to anticipate bottlenecks. This is our responsibility as long-term shareholders.
And I understand growing too quickly has elevated risks, or can be "unstable" as you put it. What exactly makes it unstable though? Demand is much higher than supply, so inventory buildup wouldn't be the issue. The executive team is capable, so that's not it either. Changing battery tech? One can argue that the quicker Tesla scales manufacturing, the less that risk becomes. What am I missing?
Unstable means "marked by frequent and unpredictable changes." Is going from 500,000 cars to 10 million cars really more unpredictable than going from zero to 500,000?
Maybe product quality? Elon can't pull out sleeping bags at multiple Gigafactories simultaneously. Maybe labor? Culture needing time to permeate through an organization? How do you accelerate that sustainably? Tesla University would also help to that end. Feed two birds with one hand.
I read it. The author Donn Bailey claims to have done a stint as CFO but he doesn't understand the difference between the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement.your favorite site! SA!
read it... then tell me how this guy's wrong:
Tesla: Buying Their Own Cars? - Tesla Motors (NASDAQ:TSLA) | Seeking Alpha
Gonna push pack a little here.
If it never shuts down, then it works, which is the goal, so the internal beauty of the code does not matter.
If new copies of the machine are added, then code can be updated, if there is reason to.
If new versions of the machine are made, the internal structure of the original's code comes into play, but refactoring for the sake of refactoring has little end benefit, and can introduce other bugs especially on timing critical things.
Panasonic said that they were going to ramp up cell production *because* battery-pack assembly was getting fixed soon. Same story from Tesla. There is no problem with battery cell production.
The growing losses make sense when you take into account flattish S+X sales while investing heavily in engineering, manufacturing and service/supercharging infrastructure for Model 3. 60K M3's per quarter with ASP of $50K and 20% GM yields $600M in gross profits. With modest growth in R&D and SG&A that should get Tesla close to break even.A start would be if Tesla could reverse the trend of ever increasing bottom line losses so that they start getting smaller rather than larger. The losses for the most recent year have been:
4Q16 $121.3 million
1Q17 $330.3 million
2Q17 $336.9 million
3Q16 $619.4 million
I suspect the trend will continue for at least another quarter since the SH letter's Outlook section stated:
"Due to a higher mix of temporarily lower margin Model 3 deliveries in Q4 compared to Q3, we expect non-GAAP automotive gross margin to temporarily decline slightly in Q4 to about 15% and then recover starting in Q1."
Although we do have a frequently replaced 12v battery. Proportionately I suspect that is probably the single most frequently replaced part on S&X.My P85 has 90k miles and the brake pads look nearly new. To add to your point
I vote door handles.Although we do have a frequently replaced 12v battery. Proportionately I suspect that is probably the single most frequently replaced part on S&X.
This guy also says his balls might get fried by driving an EV - so should we believe him?
In the news its all about Kevin Spacey showing it to everyoneSpeaking of balls, you should see the testicles on a serving my wife calls Mindanao Deep fishballs.
Good god, I can’t tell you how many times I’ve decided to simply scrap the steaming pile that was handed to me and re-write it from scratch instead of trying to decipher and correct. (Shudders at the memory.) I’m glad I don’t program any more.The problem is that poorly written code usually results in difficult to diagnose, intermittent problems. "Why the heck did that just happen?". And it becomes difficult to maintain; nobody but the programmer understands how the thing works, and so it's difficult to maintain / extend / modify.
There's a huge value in writing the software properly, the first go around.