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Reciprocity
Active Member
Honestly, I think TSLA is disconnected from oil at this point. Maybe not forever, but it hasnt seemed to be phased by oil prices. I know has been in the past. Unless gas prices are going to less then $1, which I guess could happen, I dont think it would matter.
ValueAnalyst
Closed
I agree that TSLA will do well in the longer term regardless of oil prices.
Higher gas prices, however, could lead to an even better performance.
I was there in person and can report what happened off camera. The guy who had the bicycle stolen was indeed there, but he was wearing a leather jacket, and the gals who hijacked the meeting over the leather seats issue a few years back saw this, pounced on him, and it was a wild wrestling match for a while. You remember that guy from even farther back who told Elon that he should be hired to run TSLA because he was such a genius? Well, he was there and did indeed show some leadership by moving the wrestling match out into the parking lot, but I still don't think Elon is going to run with the suggestion. Of course it is entirely possible that all of this was a daydream.
In market-pertinent news, the upper bollinger band is showing 357.64 right now on the chart I'm looking at, up from 351.87 at closing yesterday, and so the upper bb tractor beam is not pulling so hard today compared to yesterday.
I could never be a big time financial analyst as I missed the $360 call by an entire day.
I think you are at the mercy of your brokerage. As the other poster said, I once had some options expire a penny in the money and ended up with a huge amount of shares and a huge negative cash balance. But I think this is a goodwill situation from your broker. If you have 50 contracts, they aren't going to buy you 1.81M in stock. Sell the contracts.
ValueAnalyst
Closed
My kidneys are working fine, I just checked, so for now I am still Long Kidney. Hopefully kidneys hold out long enough to see TSLA 1000
I got some fresh dry powder in my account and the best investment I can think for it would be TSLA -- since 90% of my account is in that anyway
However, I feel reluctant buying when the SP is just about at ATH. Previously I always purchased on dips, but I'm not sure I can expect any in the near future...
Any advice ?
However, I feel reluctant buying when the SP is just about at ATH. Previously I always purchased on dips, but I'm not sure I can expect any in the near future...
Any advice ?
sahanim
Member
same!I got some fresh dry powder in my account and the best investment I can think for it would be TSLA -- since 90% of my account is in that anyway
However, I feel reluctant buying when the SP is just about at ATH. Previously I always purchased on dips, but I'm not sure I can expect any in the near future...
Any advice ?
I pulled out of my core tsla position for the first time since i started purchasing in 2013. Run up from 340- 360 this week came out of no where and I was expecting a "sell on the news" downward trend today. Doesn't seem to have happened as of yet.
SW2Fiddler
We Are Cognitive Dissidents
I think 400k Model 3's for 2018 is very optimistic. So is TE projection. So is 26% GM. But so be it, lets go ahead with your numbers.
28B revenue, 26% GM is 7.28B gross profits.
Operating Expenses as of the latest quarter were 925Mil. These expenses have grown at approximately 75% annualised rate since early 2013 (initial Model S volume production). I see no slowing down on this based on some of Musk's commentary in yesterday's shareholder meeting. At this growth rate for all of 2018 OpEx will be about 8.5Bil... If we were to take a more conservative projection of 50% growth in OpEx, it will be 6.68Bil.
Interest Expense for latest quarter was about 100Mil. I have no idea how to project this for 2018. But looking at historical growth you get anywhere from 50% annual growth to 120% plus growth rate based on which starting point you pick. If we were to conservatively use the 50% growth rate, the 2018 projection would be about 700mil.
With these projections we will still have Net Income losses.
For reference, consensues analyst projections for 2018 are 19Bil revenue and 191Mil loss as of now.
Gerasimental
Member
Been coiling up around 359 for a while, looks ready to break out now. How high can it run if it convincingly goes through 360?
Reciprocity
Active Member
Tesla kissing the 360.
The struggle is real
Just wait for martini hour to be over.. I mean lunch.
TT007 about a page back (1300 by December followed by large decrease from short squeeze and it's after effects)
erha
Member
I don't normally pay much attention to volume, but it seems unusually high today. Seems like the volume is about double of average volume
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