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2021+ Model S LR Delivery Tracking

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Whatever year the vin is attached to upon release. I’ve read they stay 2021 right up to January deliveries. I’ve seen a lot that says they start changing in October. I’ve seen more that say the date it’s produced and rolls off the factory floor is the date it is. Regardless, in this Tesla world the army in the know will get it at time of sale. Meaning, if you got it 12/31 and it was called a 21, folks would understand it’s no different than the 22 someone got the week of 1/1 a week later. For this batch of July through next year and beyond, unless something major changes like a new steering wheel or some body change, they’re all the same with same software updates. A plaid will be a plaid and a long range refresh will be the refresh LR. In the past, years aligned with battery sizes and which ”P” model it was, did it have a retractable sunroof, was premium connectivity and supercharging included etc and the year meant more. Going forward and until a major change, year will just mean how much mileage and original price the way it’s moving around.
For the purposes of resale value, insurance, and excise taxes, the model year actually matters.

So a 2021 vehicle is not the same as a 2022. Even if you’re a member of the “Tesla army in the know”.
 
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I ordered in late May 2021 (5/28/21) and received RN1150XXXXX – Refresh 2021 Model S Long Range, white exterior, black interior, 19" Wheels and FSD...

My EDD was updated on 8/10/21 to 11/28/21 - 12/18/21 and then...
updated to 11/17/21 – 12/7/21 on 8/13/21
updated to 11/22/21 – 12/12/21 on 8/14/21
updated to 11/21/21 – 12/11/21 on 8/15/21
updated to 11/22/21 – 12/12/21 on 8/17/21
updated to 12/7/21 – 12/27/21, today, on 8/22/21
Same order date and Same config originally but then I removed FSD. Was October from the beginning and remained October until the big reorg happened a couple weeks ago. Now sitting Nov 27-Dec 17. Picked up a model 3 last Thursday and my SA offered to check his side of the system regarding my S and he said it’s showing him “Mid December”. We’ll see…
 
I ordered in late May 2021 (5/28/21) and received RN1150XXXXX – Refresh 2021 Model S Long Range, white exterior, black interior, 19" Wheels and FSD...

My EDD was updated on 8/10/21 to 11/28/21 - 12/18/21 and then...
updated to 11/17/21 – 12/7/21 on 8/13/21
updated to 11/22/21 – 12/12/21 on 8/14/21
updated to 11/21/21 – 12/11/21 on 8/15/21
updated to 11/22/21 – 12/12/21 on 8/17/21
updated to 12/7/21 – 12/27/21, today, on 8/22/21

seems about right, I ordered a similar config 3 months before you almost to the day and my delivery window is almost spot on 3 months ahead of yours.
Ordered 2/24 blk/blk/19 currently EDD 09/09-09/29
 
If I were David Crosby, I'd run out and get the Porsche - I know my local dealer has a variety in stock. Then wait out the Model S, enjoying Tesla delivery deja vu (as I am, actually). And think about getting a haircut. (Puzzled? Bone up on CSN(Y) history.)

Regarding "lies": A harsh term, over which intent is a factor, but I agree that Musk/Tesla crossed a line last January - call it willfully negligent over-optimism, different from 'normal' Elon time. Production people within Tesla must have known that production was not going to begin in February. Or March. Or April....

RN1144 / ordered January 27, 2021 / Long range / Red / Cream / 19-inch / I’ll drive, thank you / Est. delivery: September 9 - September 29 , Mt. Kisco, no VIN.
I see what you did there, twice, right on. We all seem to be "helplessly hoping" for a VIN and EDD!
 
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To help resolve the model year question, check the 10th digit of your VIN. It identifies your car's official model year per the manufacturer. Here's a table for easy reference.
1629652154150.jpeg
 
I think that changed in 2019… the switch over to the new model year a month or two prior now in most cases. Many people got their 2021 Teslas in late 2020 last year
According to my SA this is true. Late Nov will likely be a 2022.
 

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