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2024 Shipping Movements

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I thought I would start a new thread for 2024 on European bound ships carrying Teslas.
The first logical question is why on earth would anyone on a Tesla forum be interested in shipping?

The answer is because once you have ordered your revolutionary expensive new car you enter the Tesla blackout zone - a frustrating period of non-communication from Tesla when you have no idea of what is happening with your order. If you call them, they just say they 'are waiting for a match'. What does that mean? Tesla don't build Model 3/Ys to order - they build whatever they want and then match what has been ordered to what has been produced. This 'matching' usually happens around the time the car is loaded on to a ship. Aha! Shipping has suddenly become interesting!

All Model 3s for Europe are currently made in the Shanghai Gigafactory and are shipped to Zeebrugge in Belgium, Koper in Slovenia or Barcelona in Spain through the Suez Canal in a journey taking about 30 days At the time of writing the Suez Canal is being avoided by most carriers and are routing via the Cape of Good Hope adding about 10 days to the voyage from Shanghai. It also adds about $200-250 to the shipping cost of each vehicle. All Model 3s and Y's for the UK are currently shipped from Shanghai direct to Southampton. UPDATE From Jun 24 MY for the UK will be supplied from Berlin!
Normally Tesla fully charter ships to transport their cars but during 2022/3 they supplemented the charters by using available space on scheduled services too. In 2024 I think we may see a return to whole charters in an effort to keep costs down and keep control of itineraries.


If you are in Auz/NZ, shipments are from Shanghai.
If you are in Dubai, your Model 3 will be loaded on to a ship that heads to Jebel Ali. Currently there is about one shipment per quarter.
If you are in Israel, your Model 3 will be shipped to Ashdod from Shanghai and again currently there is one shipment per quarter. Model Y will come from Berlin but is harder to track. Currently there are no services to Israel.
If you are in Ireland your car is shipped to Dublin via Zeebrugge.

Model S/X are shipped from Baltimore to Zeebrugge.

I mentioned Q1 earlier- this is because Tesla work in quarters with Q1 running from Jan to Mar. The Tesla business model requires as many cars as possible produced in a quarter to be paid for (delivered) in that same quarter.
This means that in Q1 the last ship will leave for Europe no later than around 8 Feb in order to allow for a 36/37 day transit to Southampton/Zeebrugge and then a (hectic) delivery push in the last 10 days or so of March. (A couple of days later if shipping to Barcelona) It is logical then to expect to see a large number of export models for the UK/EU market to be clogging the Chinese production lines in January and early February. This explains the feast or famine nature of Tesla logistics. Elon has promised his staff that he will try to suppress the end of quarter wave. To an extent he has already succeeded in this - by moving all export production to China, the US domestic supply is now much more evenly spread throughout the quarter. Production in Berlin is currently interrupted by delays in components as a result of container ships avoiding Suez, however this should only be a short-term issue.

You may wonder why we in the UK should be interested in shipments to Zeebrugge, Koper and Barcelona? Often it may be difficult to determine whether a ship is heading to Southampton, Zeebrugge, Barcelona or Koper and so it's just as easy to track all the ships to Europe. Often the ship may call at Southampton and then head to Zeebrugge and so it makes sense keep track of everything heading to Europe anyway. It's useful for me if our European readers advise their expected delivery dates and when VINs are allocated as that can help identify where a ship is going.

There is an pretty good spreadsheet populated with the latest (and historical) confirmed shipping information from a variety of sources - Tesla Carriers. It may be more of interest to you later as you become more engrossed in this subject! Did I mention it can become addictive?

Anyway, I think we can expect to see about 13 boatloads to Europe in Q1.
That begs the next question - how big are the boats? The standard ocean going vehicle carrier is 200 metres long and 32 metres wide and can fit about 5000 - 5500 cars onboard. A Tesla is larger and significantly heavier than a standard car and so a maximum of about 4500 cars are in each shipment. There are larger vessels that can transport more and I will make a point of mentioning it if a larger vessel is being used.

Anyway the plan is to post details of the latest Tesla shipping news for 2024 to this thread.

I will keep and eye on Pier 80 San Francisco for Model S/X exports to Far East and Baltimore for S/X to Europe.

There are a number of ship trackers you can use to follow the ships and www.marinetraffic.com is one with perhaps the best free coverage but there are plenty of others. The ships transmit a signal which is picked up by shore based receivers (mostly hosted by amateurs) and forwarded to the website. The trouble is that the signal is a VHF signal meaning the receiver has to be within line-of-sight and once the ship goes over the horizon to the receiver that's it, unless you pay for satellite coverage which is not cheap. With the aid of satellite tracking I will provide a daily update on exactly where each 'Tesla' ship is and provide an estimated time of arrival to Zeebrugge and Southampton (the UK port of entry for Tesla). A talented reader of the thread @Frizzy, has created an excellent webpage where you can track 'Tesla' ships.
I'll also try and add some background info which you may find interesting.

Correctly identifying Tesla ships from Shanghai is not easy and quite often a 'suspect' ship turns out to be a false alarm. There are other sites that claim to track Tesla ships but actually just track every possible ship that departs Shanghai, which is not particularly helpful. I at least try and rule out the improbable ones based on my experience. It's also free! It helps enormously if when you 'chat' to Tesla about your order that you ask what ship your car is on or if they won't tell you the name, at least ask when it will arrive in Zeebrugge/Southampton. Please post your info to the thread or PM me!

You can help me and others by keeping any posts on this thread strictly to shipping related matters - questions about when to expect delivery, VINs and panel gaps have their own threads, which I have been known to visit and contribute to also.
 
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I wish ppl would post their full timeline AFTER they got the car.
I'm hoping tomorrow I'll have mine delivered and can summarise my timeline.

I've found a few people here have delivery estimates/locations close enough to mine to help cut through the silence from Tesla/Arval.

I got an email with free supercharger miles for the low state of charge - so something is at least happening in the background.
 
I’m kinda in shock I ordered a M3 in white on Tuesday and got a text today to say prepare for delivery. App has VIN and says delivery date 25th of March. I was fully expecting a longer wait based on looking through here and what my friend said.
Based in Ireland
 
I’m kinda in shock I ordered a M3 in white on Tuesday and got a text today to say prepare for delivery. App has VIN and says delivery date 25th of March. I was fully expecting a longer wait based on looking through here and what my friend said.
Based in Ireland
You must have stumbled on some secret formula….I ordered mine - a blue all wheel drive long range in early January and delivery dates have gone out from end February to currently 23 March - a additional day every day. It’s like a gigantic global guessing game. Let us know what you think when you pick it up. I’m in Dublin.
 
For info, just got contacted for a delivery on the 23th.

To summarize : ordered 26th of January a M3LR Grey stealth with black interior in Brussels(Drogenbos)/Belgium.

Got an EDD of 12th to 24th of march and just got text to plan the delivery and chosen the earliest available (23th at 12:00).

Hope nothing changes 🤞

Keeping you guys posted.
 
For info, just got contacted for a delivery on the 23th.

To summarize : ordered 26th of January a M3LR Grey stealth with black interior in Brussels(Drogenbos)/Belgium.

Got an EDD of 12th to 24th of march and just got text to plan the delivery and chosen the earliest available (23th at 12:00).

Hope nothing changes 🤞

Keeping you guys posted.
Just curios, your car was produced in 2024 or still 2023?
 
You must have stumbled on some secret formula….I ordered mine - a blue all wheel drive long range in early January and delivery dates have gone out from end February to currently 23 March - a additional day every day. It’s like a gigantic global guessing game. Let us know what you think when you pick it up. I’m in Dublin.
I really must have! Hopefully your date gets set soon!
 
Ordered a MY LR in blue on Monday (4th). VIN and reg assigned almost instantly, collection date assigned the next day - Friday 22nd from Longbridge.

Can’t work out if this is from uk inventory or boat, pretty good either way.
 
I’m kinda in shock I ordered a M3 in white on Tuesday and got a text today to say prepare for delivery. App has VIN and says delivery date 25th of March. I was fully expecting a longer wait based on looking through here and what my friend said.
Based in Ireland
There were white M3s sitting on the inventory page for the past few weeks. I'd say you matched one of those.

We ordered all black Long Range early January. EDD has gone Jan/Feb -> Feb/March -> March/April -> May/June. With no VIN in sight. Not great to be honest.
 
Here is what I think happened. When I went for test drive, I saw at least 50 units waiting for delivery. All in white. Since white is default colour and likely to get most orders, they keep them in stock. Any deviation from base spec, will result in longer delivery time.

So you must have been allocated from available inventory. Had you ordered a long range one or with non default colour or different size of wheels, your delivery time would have been longer.

So the way to think about it is this. The more infrequent the spec, the longer they will take and more common the spec, the quicker it will be available.

Dhaval
 
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There were white M3s sitting on the inventory page for the past few weeks. I'd say you matched one of those.

We ordered all black Long Range early January. EDD has gone Jan/Feb -> Feb/March -> March/April -> May/June. With no VIN in sight. Not great to be honest.

Correct. This is really unprofessional IMO. Don’t they have the “Tesla OS” that gives them real time data on everything? It can’t be that hard to allocate production when an order is received even if it’s after a few months. Heck they should even be able to update the customer with status updates like “scheduled for production in (insert the month) - in production - transit - arrived in country etc. On any given day, the production has to be scheduled for received orders considering how many ppl are waiting. So every car produced has to have a RN number associated with it, before the production process or after the car has been produced. The customer with the RN number can be updated at that point that their car has been produced. Pushing delivery dates back shows they have no idea when what production is scheduled and don’t know what they are doing, even if internally the order might be progressing.

I don’t mind waiting for months, as long as I have transparent updates. At the time of order, it says two weeks for delivery and now it’s a few months which is also not guaranteed or has any level of certainty associated with it. Feels more like FSD 🤪🤪
 
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I think what I would want to get out of this thread, after reading many posts is if anyone has their delivery brought forward once it shows up in the app. For example, did anyone have delivery date of May- August but all of a sudden, receive a notification saying they need to prep for delivery after a ship docks at Southampton?

D
 
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I'm hoping tomorrow I'll have mine delivered and can summarise my timeline.

I've found a few people here have delivery estimates/locations close enough to mine to help cut through the silence from Tesla/Arval.

I got an email with free supercharger miles for the low state of charge - so something is at least happening in the background.
I think a spreadsheet would be good. With the columns for order date, spec, EDD, date VIN rcd, date of actual del, any other info.
 
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I noticed that my VIN is visible in the mobile application but not on the website. On the site I see a preview of an older M3 with no wheels. RN is mentioned but nothing happens if I click on the window. Tried using the tool from Frizzy's list but no VIN is found. Which one should I believe? EDD is unchanged in the mobile app, still planned for 15-27 March. Any reason to worry?
 
I think what I would want to get out of this thread, after reading many posts is if anyone has their delivery brought forward once it shows up in the app. For example, did anyone have delivery date of May- August but all of a sudden, receive a notification saying they need to prep for delivery after a ship docks at Southampton?

D
You should ask in the order to delivery discussion thread. This one is only for discussing shipping.
 
Heck they should even be able to update the customer with status updates like “scheduled for production in (insert the month) - in production - transit - arrived in country etc. On any given day, the production has to be scheduled for received orders considering how many ppl are waiting.
I’d suggest you read the opening post of this thread - Tesla does not build to order. They build batches of specific configurations based on parts availability and a high level projection of demand and then match orders to vehicles after they have left the factory. Any prediction on delivery date before a match is guesswork that is subject to constant change.
 
There were white M3s sitting on the inventory page for the past few weeks. I'd say you matched one of those.

We ordered all black Long Range early January. EDD has gone Jan/Feb -> Feb/March -> March/April -> May/June. With no VIN in sight. Not great to be honest.
Thats quite disheartening to hear that you ordered early Jan and still have EDD pushed to may -june. Hope you get some positive updates soon!!