Ok Team Wheel, I’m looking for some advice….. what to do with a bunch of 7/30 -p650s? Sold those for $29-$30, a very nice price, about 10d ago.
Now, MaxPain suggests that they will be ITM at close. So, simple answer, just buy them back for $2-$5 Friday, and resell again for 8/06. Easy peasy right? Well, not so fast.
With the latest amazing earnings, various Q3&Q4 projections topping $1000/sh, and the Austin/Berlin production ramping in 2022, would it be foolish to continue selling puts? Assuming 22 wk remain in 2021 and $10/wk profit selling ATM puts, that’s only $650+220=$870. That $10/wk is generous, assuming that I trade perfectly. Currently 650s are only adding about $5/wk beyond two weeks out. If the SP really reaches $1000 by EOY, then I’m falling off the wheel.
So, my inclination is to let the puts assign and take the shares (cost basis is $620 or so). This is in my ROTH IRA, which is currently underweight calls/puts at 1:3 (instead of my preferred 3:1 ratio). Allowing the puts to expire ITM gets my account to 100% shares.
Yesterday, in my regular IRA before really thinking thing through, I just rolled some to 8/06 -p640s for $2 credit. That account is much closer to my optimum 3:1 call
ut ratio, so I’m feeling better about it. Still, I’m having second thoughts and may need to convert some put into shares so that the ratio is 4:1. Decisions…… FYI, everything is cash-secured, so a simple buyback yields enough cash to buy shares outright.