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Autonomous Car Progress

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Are there any cars coming with it? Traditionally car companies have not fully used all ME’s capabilities?

Yes. Geely will be the first cars to get Super Vision:


By the way, here is Mobileye's marketing page on Super Vision that gives details on how it works. IMO, it is very informative:

 
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Brand new video of a real world test of Mercedes' L3 highway system on the EQS:

Up to 60 kph
Driver can disengage
10 second max warning to take over


Is it just me or did it seem like the driver did not really have enough time to properly re-engage when the emergency vehicle zipped by at the 12:06 mark in the video? The car did properly flash red and give auditory alerts to take over but the driver only had about 4-5 seconds on my count before the emergency vehicle passed him. If the car had been in the other lane and had needed to move over quickly, 4-5 seconds is not a lot of time for the driver to re-engage. It could have been an issue IMO. I feel like this might be an example of why L3 does not always work because there could be cases where you can't give the driver the full 10 seconds to really re-engage properly.
 
Is it just me or did it seem like the driver did not really have enough time to properly re-engage when the emergency vehicle zipped by at the 12:06 mark in the video? The car did properly flash red and give auditory alerts to take over but the driver only had about 4-5 seconds on my count before the emergency vehicle passed him. If the car had been in the other lane and had needed to move over quickly, 4-5 seconds is not a lot of time for the driver to re-engage. It could have been an issue IMO. I feel like this might be an example of why L3 does not always work because there could be cases where you can't give the driver the full 10 seconds to really re-engage properly.
10 seconds is as arbitrary as 5 seconds or 15 seconds.
 
10 seconds is as arbitrary as 5 seconds or 15 seconds.

I disagree. It should not be arbitrary. The driver needs to properly re-engage in the driving task after being completely disengaged like watching a movie or checking texts. And some situations may be more safety critical than others where it more important that the driver have enough time to re-engage. So it should depend on how time is enough for the driver to properly re-engage. That amount of time can be quantified. You can give the driver more time of course, but you can't give the driver less time.
 
Is it just me or did it seem like the driver did not really have enough time to properly re-engage when the emergency vehicle zipped by at the 12:06 mark in the video? The car did properly flash red and give auditory alerts to take over but the driver only had about 4-5 seconds on my count before the emergency vehicle passed him. If the car had been in the other lane and had needed to move over quickly, 4-5 seconds is not a lot of time for the driver to re-engage. It could have been an issue IMO. I feel like this might be an example of why L3 does not always work because there could be cases where you can't give the driver the full 10 seconds to really re-engage properly.
10 seconds is obviously too long to respond to a situation like that. Of course it didn't seem like any response is necessary. A bigger risk might be the driver taking over and making an unpredictable move (tapping the brakes, swerving slightly).
Will the system actually change lanes for emergency vehicles? It sounds like it does change its position within the lane to create an "emergency corridor."
10 seconds is as arbitrary as 5 seconds or 15 seconds.
We don't know that. Obviously there ways that 5 seconds is better and ways that 15 seconds is better. Hopefully they didn't just pick at random.

I hope they actually release this system.
 
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10 seconds is obviously too long to respond to a situation like that. Of course it didn't seem like any response is necessary. A bigger risk might be the driver taking over and making an unpredictable move (tapping the brakes, swerving slightly).
Will the system actually change lanes for emergency vehicles? It sounds like it does change its position within the lane to create an "emergency corridor."

We don't know that. Obviously there ways that 5 seconds is better and ways that 15 seconds is better. Hopefully they didn't just pick at random.

I hope they actually release this system.
My point is why "10 seconds?" Taking my mind or eyes off the road for 2-3 seconds still gives me the ability to pre-assess upcoming roadway and react accordingly if TACC/NoA freaks out.

Allowing up to 10 seconds for a driver to take over is the real recipe for disaster. "Oh, the car will catch it while I'm reading my newsfeed, and warn me in plenty of time." Till the case where all that pre-assessment (we, as humans should always be doing) is beyond the AV's ability, which is inevitable. This is why an L5 AV is going to be elusive, an L4 limited in scope, but something L2-3ish becoming the norm in driver assistance tools. That's really all I expect and would be happy with is competence similar to the NoA/FSD features on the highway for city. Still need to be paying attention, and still will be the driver.
 
My point is why "10 seconds?" Taking my mind or eyes off the road for 2-3 seconds still gives me the ability to pre-assess upcoming roadway and react accordingly if TACC/NoA freaks out.

It is not just about taking your eyes off the road for 2-3 seconds. With L3, you might be more disengaged than that like checking your texts or watching a video. If you are deep into watching a movie, do you think 2-3 seconds would be enough to get back to focusing on the road? I doubt it.
 
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It is not just about taking your eyes off the road for 2-3 seconds. With L3, you might be more disengaged than that like checking your texts or watching a video. If you are deep into watching a movie, do you think 2-3 seconds would be enough to get back to focusing on the road? I doubt it.
You've just given a great reason why L3 probably won't be typical. If you think L3 systems will be able to predict a fault or condition 10 seconds ahead at a 100% accuracy rate, IMO you're dreaming. L4 (and IIRC, L5) systems, for exactly the same reason, must fallback to a safe shutdown without any driver intervention. Right?

I propose throwing L3 in the trash, and having decimal point extensions of what's clearly understood as L2.
 
My point is why "10 seconds?" Taking my mind or eyes off the road for 2-3 seconds still gives me the ability to pre-assess upcoming roadway and react accordingly if TACC/NoA freaks out.

Allowing up to 10 seconds for a driver to take over is the real recipe for disaster. "Oh, the car will catch it while I'm reading my newsfeed, and warn me in plenty of time." Till the case where all that pre-assessment (we, as humans should always be doing) is beyond the AV's ability, which is inevitable. This is why an L5 AV is going to be elusive, an L4 limited in scope, but something L2-3ish becoming the norm in driver assistance tools. That's really all I expect and would be happy with is competence similar to the NoA/FSD features on the highway for city. Still need to be paying attention, and still will be the driver.
Mercedes is liable for the operation of the vehicle during those 10 seconds. I'm sure they won't release it until they believe it can safely handle any situation for 10 seconds. I am also skeptical but it seems conceivable in the very limited set of circumstances they allow the system to be enabled.
 
Mercedes is liable for the operation of the vehicle during those 10 seconds. I'm sure they won't release it until they believe it can safely handle any situation for 10 seconds. I am also skeptical but it seems conceivable in the very limited set of circumstances they allow the system to be enabled.
Exactly. I would much prefer an imperfect generalist (Tesla's FSD) to an accomplished virtuoso who only plays in one concert hall.
 
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You've just given a great reason why L3 probably won't be typical. If you think L3 systems will be able to predict a fault or condition 10 seconds ahead at a 100% accuracy rate, IMO you're dreaming.

Oh, I agree, L3 is not very useful IMO. That is why we see L3 in only very limited cases like traffic jams.

L4 (and IIRC, L5) systems, for exactly the same reason, must fallback to a safe shutdown without any driver intervention. Right?

Yes, L4/L5 must handle a fallback to a safe shutdown without a human. So, L4/L5 avoids the L3 issue by simply removing the human from the equation entirely.

I propose throwing L3 in the trash, and having decimal point extensions of what's clearly understood as L2.

Except the SAE specifically forbids that. The SAE levels are not allowed to be decimals, only integers. Decimals don't make any sense with the SAE level taxonomy. A system either is L2 or it is not L2. There is no middle ground.
 
Exactly. I would much prefer an imperfect generalist (Tesla's FSD) to an accomplished virtuoso who only plays in one concert hall.
They're not mutually exclusive. The same hardware can be used for both L2 and L3. It would be great if we could safely and legally take our eyes off the road when using Autopilot below 60kph.
 
They're not mutually exclusive. The same hardware can be used for both L2 and L3. It would be great if we could safely and legally take our eyes off the road when using Autopilot below 60kph.
I think that's reasonable and I'm surprised Tesla hasn't pushed for it like Honda and Mercedes have (albeit in different countries). I was stuck in a < 10 mph traffic jam on the highway the other day, and using autopilot I saw little reason to not be messing around on my phone while we were stuck. I didn't, because I didn't want to be "that guy", but I really feel like the technology is safe enough for those situations.
 
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Brand new video of a real world test of Mercedes' L3 highway system on the EQS:

Up to 60 kph
Driver can disengage
10 second max warning to take over


Yes. You have up to 10 seconds to take over.

Is it just me or did it seem like the driver did not really have enough time to properly re-engage when the emergency vehicle zipped by at the 12:06 mark in the video? The car did properly flash red and give auditory alerts to take over but the driver only had about 4-5 seconds on my count before the emergency vehicle passed him. If the car had been in the other lane and had needed to move over quickly, 4-5 seconds is not a lot of time for the driver to re-engage. It could have been an issue IMO. I feel like this might be an example of why L3 does not always work because there could be cases where you can't give the driver the full 10 seconds to really re-engage properly.

The wording confuses me. "You have up to ten seconds to take over." Does that mean that car will give you some amount of time that might be as long as ten seconds, or does it mean that the driver has a full ten seconds to take over? If the latter, then the wording should be "You have ten seconds to take over," not "You have up to ten seconds to take over." Either you have ten seconds, or you don't. "... up to" confuses me as to what they intend to say.

It would have been clear if they'd said "You have at least ten seconds before you have to take over." But your post suggests that the car didn't give a full ten seconds. Which is to say, it's not ready for real-world use yet.

The problem is, in real-world driving in the city, there are often situations where you don't have ten seconds to react. An L3 car needs to be able to react to all those situations itself. (Or at least as many as a human driver could. There will be situations that no human or computer could react in time. But the car cannot tell the driver: "Quick! You have three seconds to react!")

Reliable, safe Level 3 autonomy would be a tremendous advance over any L2 system. I think I'd pay a $20,000 premium for that, provided disengagements were rare.

ETA: And provided it operated at highway speeds and in the city.